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BIT Research: Multiple signals are strengthening simultaneously. Has the Bitcoin recovery trend already begun?
In the past two reports, we noted that the Bitcoin bear market phase may already be nearing its end. Now, as the price has regained key technical levels, multiple indicators—such as the trend model, the 21-week moving average, and on-chain fund flow—are starting to align, and the degree of confirmation for this view is gradually increasing. Meanwhile, $73,000 has remained an important watershed since March 2024 and is a crucial threshold for whether this round of trend can be confirmed as a reversal.
From the perspective of price structure, Bitcoin has moved back above the 21-week moving average, which is of key significance in the bull-bear judgment framework. At the same time, the monthly RSI and the weekly stochastic oscillation indicators are both in historical bottom-range zones, further reinforcing the view that the market is transitioning from a phase of bottoming into a recovery phase. Although short-term volatility may still be influenced by macro variables, against the backdrop of a steady technical repair, Bitcoin’s price action is beginning to show—
BTC-0,35%
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Curve founder proposes recovering DeFi bad debt through a market-based approach
Odaily reports that Curve founder Michael Egorov proposed recovering bad debt in lending protocols by converting impaired positions into tradable investment products, with a pilot on Curve's CRV-long LlamaLend market, which incurred about $700k in bad debt in October 2025. He also established a Curve Stableswap pool with approximately 71% solvency, allowing trading of impaired vault tokens, where traders can buy at a discount, liquidity providers earn fees, and the DAO accumulates impaired tokens through management fees. Community feedback is polarized, with some users questioning the lack of immediate returns making it difficult to attract buyers.
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CRV-0,74%
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France prosecutes 88 suspects of the cryptocurrency “wrench attack,” including more than 10 minors
France's PNACO announces an investigation into 12 organized crime groups planning cryptocurrency kidnapping cases; currently, 88 suspects have been charged with kidnapping, illegal detention, extortion, and money laundering, including more than a dozen minors. Since 2023, there have been 135 related attacks, with 18 in 2024, 67 in 2025, and 47 from 2026 to date. Recently, six more suspects were arrested, all under preventive detention. The masterminds are mostly outside the European Union.
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Meta acquires @moltbook. The amount was not disclosed, but there is quite a bit of controversy in the community. The most puzzling point for everyone is: why would a Vibe Coding "underdog team" that was taken down just days after going live and is clearly out of date, make Zuckerberg willingly become the scapegoat?
Meta acquires @moltbook. The amount wasn’t disclosed, but the controversy in the community isn’t small either. The most perplexing part for everyone is this: why would a Vibe Coding “makeshift team” that got exposed and taken down within days of going live—clearly already out of date—let Zuckerberg willingly act as the scapegoat?
Think about it—would Zuckerberg really spend money to buy a broken, riddled set of code? Once we sort out the logic behind it, we’ll understand exactly what Meta is buying.
1) On the surface, it looks like humans using AI as a form of performance art, but in reality, it’s about validating the business logic of A2A.
Moltbook was indeed all the rage when it first launched. Millions of data points were running at full speed, and even @karpathy exclaimed, “science fiction becoming reality.” But the bubble burst quickly, fake
MEME-3,67%
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Maritime tracking data: About seven ships have passed through the Strait of Hormuz in the past 24 hours.
Odaily Planet Daily reports that ship tracking data shows approximately seven vessels passed through the Strait of Hormuz in the past 24 hours, mainly bulk carriers and cargo ships. (Jin10)
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Russian President Putin will meet with visiting Iranian Foreign Minister Araghchi in Saint Petersburg on the 27th.
Odaily Planet Daily News reports that, according to TASS, Russian President’s press secretary Peskov said on the 27th that President Putin will meet with visiting Iranian Foreign Minister Araghchi in Saint Petersburg. Given the current situation in the Middle East, this meeting is of great importance. (Xinhua International)
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Thank you @Phyrex_Ni for the discussion. Here's an example of an arbitrage process:
This article discusses the arbitrage process, using $IBIT as an example, describing how arbitrageurs profit by purchasing discounted $IBIT and selling BTC in the BTC market.
Arbitrageurs sell BTC in the spot or futures market and sell $IBIT after the discount is restored, closing the equivalent short position.
If the discount does not recover, arbitrageurs may choose to redeem $IBIT for BTC and sell it to manage liquidity risk.
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BTC-0,35%
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Strive CEO responds to Grayscale report: STRC dividends depend on Bitcoin price increase
Strive CEO ColeMacro responded to the Grayscale report, stating that the report points out that STRC's long-term dividend ability depends on the rise in Bitcoin prices. ColeMacro said that the demand for digital credit is huge because it offers double-digit returns, low volatility, and is easy for credit risk investors to understand and prefer. He also criticized the report for not adequately discussing volatility and for shortcomings in credit analysis.
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BTC-0,35%
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Gate releases GateRouter enterprise account feature, connecting AI usage and governance closed-loop
Gate announces the launch of GateRouter Enterprise Accounts, based on the existing AI model gateway to enhance enterprise-level management, providing integrated AI usage and governance for teams and organizations. By connecting to over 30 mainstream models through a single API and matching tasks accordingly, intelligent routing to cost-effective models helps enterprises reduce costs and achieve scalable applications. The new features optimize costs, permissions, and data across three aspects: shared quota pools for unified billing, three-tier limits on organization/member/API keys for budget control; supporting four-level organizations and multi-role permissions, providing statistics on usage, model distribution, API keys, and more for easier tracking and analysis.
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Aave will vote on whether to suspend token buybacks to prioritize resolving the rsETH issue.
Odaily Star Daily reports that the Snapshot page shows that TokenLogic, an Aave ecosystem service provider, has submitted a governance proposal on whether to pause AAVE buybacks. The proposal recommends suspending AAVE’s buyback program until the details of the rsETH incident are clear, and the timing for resuming buybacks will be assessed separately.
Voting will begin tomorrow (April 28) and end on May 1.
AAVE0,2%
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Deutsche Bank: If the Bank of Japan does not clearly signal a rate hike, the yen may weaken
Odaily Planet Daily News: German commercial bank analyst Falkmar Bauer stated in a report that if the Bank of Japan keeps interest rates unchanged on Tuesday and remains cautious about future rate hikes, the yen may weaken. He said that the market expects the Bank of Japan to give a fairly clear signal indicating a possible rate hike in June—at least on the condition that the Iran conflict eases by then. If this signal fails to appear, the Japanese Ministry of Finance's warnings about intervention to support the yen will "no longer be of much help." Bauer stated that in this scenario, USD/JPY could rise above 160. (Jin10)
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2026 World Cup countdown: 45 days, Polymarket's France winning probability surpasses Spain
Odaily Seer’s monitoring of Polymarket’s “2026 World Cup Champion” prediction shows France at 17% in first place, Spain at 15%, England at 11%, and Argentina and Brazil at 9%. The total trading volume has already exceeded $770 million. Under the contract rules, if a team fails to win according to FIFA rules, it will be settled as “No”; the decision will be based mainly on official FIFA information. Seer will continue to follow pricing changes.
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Pre-market U.S. stocks with crypto-related concepts all rise, MSTR up 1.02%
According to msx.com data, U.S. stock pre-market cryptocurrency-related concept stocks are broadly higher, with COIN, MSTR, ABTC, HOOD, and MARA rising by 0.42%, 1.02%, 0.81%, 0.08%, and 0.17%, respectively. msx.com is a decentralized RWA (real-world asset) trading platform that has launched hundreds of RWA tokens, covering U.S. stock and ETF token targets including AAPL, AMZN, GOOGL, META, MSFT, NFLX, NVDA, and others.
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Kea Tu Macro: US-Iran negotiations reach a deadlock, market optimism may fade quickly
Odaily Planet Daily News reports that Jonas Gortman, a macro analyst at Kepler Macro, said that if the U.S.-Iran standoff continues and the Strait of Hormuz remains essentially closed, market optimism that the Iran war will soon be resolved may quickly begin to fade. The analyst said, “Negotiations to end the U.S.-Iran war and reopen the Strait of Hormuz appear to have once again fallen into deadlock, causing global financial markets to take a cautious stance at the beginning of the new week. Time is not on the side of optimists: with each passing day, disruptions to the energy market will intensify, thereby causing greater downstream damage to economies worldwide.”(Jin10
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Western Union will launch the Solana-based stablecoin card "Stable Card" next month.
Western Union stated during the earnings call that they will launch a Solana-based stablecoin USDPT next month, expected to be announced for the first time in October 2025. It is now in the final stage, issued by Anchorage Digital Bank, targeting global agent networks for settlement rather than consumers. Their plan is to launch USD stablecoin cards in dozens of markets this year, allowing consumers to hold value in stablecoins and make global purchases.
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