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2026 World Cup countdown: 45 days, Polymarket's France winning probability surpasses Spain
Odaily Seer Prophet Channel monitoring shows that in the prediction event for the “2026 World Cup Football Champion,” France’s probability of winning has overtaken Spain, currently ranking first at 17%. Spain’s probability of winning is 15%, placing second. England’s probability of winning is 11%, and Argentina and Brazil both have a 9% chance of winning. As of now, the total trading volume for this prediction event has exceeded $770 million.
The rules for this event contract are: the country team that ultimately wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If, according to FIFA rules, that team is no longer able to win the World Cup (for example, eliminated in the knockout stage), the contract will be settled immediately as “No.” The main basis for settlement is official FIFA information, but other reliable reports’ consensus will also be considered.
Odaily Seer Prophet Channel continues to monitor the prediction market and observes changes before pricing.