UBS analysts predict the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 50 basis points by 2026, despite rising energy prices. Fed Chairman Powell suggests limited tightening is needed, focusing on core inflation evidence before cuts. The forecast for Treasury yields indicates potential downward movement.

The Federal Reserve is highly likely to keep interest rates steady in April, with a 99.5% probability. Looking ahead to June, there's a 94.1% chance of maintaining rates, a 0.5% chance of an increase, and a 5.4% chance of a cut.

Gate News message, April 17 — The rate swap market is signaling a dovish shift, with current pricing reflecting expectations for 15 basis points of Federal Reserve rate cuts by December.

The CME's Fed Watch tool indicates a 99.5% probability of the Federal Reserve keeping rates unchanged in April, with similar projections for June showing a 98% likelihood of steady rates and minimal chances for rate cuts or hikes.

Kevin Warsh, nominated by Trump for Federal Reserve chair, is the wealthiest candidate in recent history, with a net worth up to $209 million. His diverse investments include Silicon Valley, fintech, and AI. Despite potential conflicts, he has a modern view on digital assets.

Kevin Warsh, nominated for Federal Reserve Chair, has disclosed investments in various crypto projects including Solana and Compound. Experts believe he likely invested indirectly through digital asset-focused funds ahead of his confirmation hearing.

Former Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen believes the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates this year, despite uncertainty from the Iran war and oil price volatility. She sees a broad supply shock impacting various sectors but suggests stable inflation expectations make rate hikes unlikely.

Kevin Warsh, nominated for Federal Reserve Chair, reported investments in over 20 digital asset companies. His portfolio includes DeFi platforms, blockchain networks, and Web3 projects. The Senate Banking Committee may advance his nomination, raising potential conflict of interest concerns.

Kevin Warsh, nominee for Federal Reserve Chair, has disclosed early-stage investments in various crypto infrastructure projects, including DeFi and layer-2 networks. His portfolio, small and illiquid, suggests indirect venture capital exposure rather than direct trading assets.

Market expectations are that the U.S. February PCE data will show that inflation pressures remain, with PCE rising to 0.4% month over month and 2.8% year over year. Core PCE is expected to be around 3.0% year over year, above the Federal Reserve’s target. The Federal Reserve may continue to hold the 3.50%-3.75% interest-rate range in April, while rate-cut expectations cool.