Analyst Warns XRP Could Slide Below $1 as Geopolitics Heat Up

A seasoned crypto market analyst who previously highlighted a major double top in the token’s last bull cycle is now warning that the current downturn may not be over, projecting a possible bottom in the mid‑$0.80 range.

Levi’s comments, aimed squarely at long‑term XRP holders, hinge on historical price behavior, key moving averages, and a new wave of geopolitical risk.

Bearish Technicals Point to an $0.85–$0.86 XRP “Worst Case” Zone

The host centers much of his analysis on a December 17, 2025 call by trader Peter Brandt, who identified what he described as a “potential double top” in XRP near cycle highs.

That pattern, drawn across two peaks and a horizontal neckline, was followed by a sharp breakdown and what the host calls the end of the bull run for XRP and “many other cryptocurrencies.”

Levi from Crypto Crusaders also revisits Brandt’s coverage of an earlier “10/10 massive liquidation event,” noting that XRP briefly broke above a trendline, then crashed, then rebounded—underscoring that even accurate pattern calls can be followed by volatile counter‑moves.

Still, he argues Brandt has “been right many times prior,” and that bearish structures deserve attention.

The more pressing signal, according to Levi, is XRP’s recent loss of its 100‑week moving average, marked as an orange line on his chart. In the 2022 bear market, when XRP first broke below this same indicator around $0.67, it went on to lose roughly 50% of its value, bottoming near $0.32.

Applying that template to the current cycle, he estimates that a similar leg down from the recent breakdown would place XRP “somewhere around $0.86 per coin.” That level, he says, is where he plans to “purchase a lot of XRP.”

Geopolitical Shocks and One More “Major Liquidation Event”

Alongside the chart work, the host ties his downside scenario to macro and geopolitical triggers. He cites escalating tensions between Iran and the United States as his primary concern, with potential trade and tariff disputes linked to Donald Trump as a secondary risk that could rattle broader markets and crypto along with them.

Levi anticipates “one more major liquidation event” that could drive XRP to its bear‑market low, likely below $1. In his view, this would be the phase where “most people are going to think crypto is completely done,” before a gradual recovery begins.

For timing a future rebound, he points to U.S. monetary policy: the key bullish catalyst, he says, would be the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates and “the money printer going on,” historically supportive conditions for risk assets like crypto.

Levi also highlights another trader, identified as J.D., who previously called a “massive rally” in February 2025 and a 69% crash to roughly $1.11, which the host says he successfully traded for a $20,000 profit in a single day. J.D.’s current “pink box buy zone” for XRP also sits below $1, reinforcing the host’s conviction that sub‑dollar prices are likely before the next leg higher.

For investors, the market connoisseur’s message is cautious but tactical: prepare for the possibility of XRP’s price revisiting the $0.80s, watch geopolitical headlines and Fed policy closely, and recognize that the path to any new bull phase may run through one final flush in a market already deep in bear‑market territory.

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People Also Ask:

How low does the analyst think XRP could go? He believes a realistic “worst case” bottom is around $0.85–$0.86, based on past behavior around the 100‑week moving average.

What macro events is he watching? Escalating United States–Iran tensions, potential global tariff and trade conflicts, as well as eventual Federal Reserve rate cuts.

Is the outlook entirely bearish? Not entirely. Levi expects further downside first, followed by a slow recovery once macro conditions turn more supportive.

Are these exact price targets guaranteed? The show host stresses probabilities, noting XRP could bottom slightly higher or lower, but sees sub‑$1 levels as highly likely.

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