Key Insights:
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XRP trades near $1.32 as weekly Bollinger Bands widen, signaling building volatility and heightened risk around a decisive support zone.
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The 20-week moving average near $2 continues to cap rallies, reinforcing a broader pattern of lower highs and sustained downside pressure.
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A move toward $1.274 would mark a 10% decline, aligning with the daily lower Bollinger Band and testing structural support.
XRP trades below $1.45 heading into the weekend as weekly Bollinger Bands widen and price action presses against the lower boundary near $1.32. The tightening range that defined recent weeks has started to give way to expanding volatility. That shift places focus on whether support can withstand mounting pressure.
The widening bands on a weekly chart often precede larger directional moves rather than minor fluctuations. XRP now leans on the lower band instead of rebounding sharply from it. Consequently, traders track the $1.30 zone as a pivotal technical level.
20-Week Average Caps Recovery Attempts
The broader structure remains under strain as the 20-week moving average hovers near $2 and trends lower. Every rally since XRP peaked above $3 in late 2025 has stalled beneath that line. Hence, the moving average continues to act as firm resistance.
Source: TradingView
Lower highs and weaker weekly closes reinforce the bearish sequence on higher time frames. Additionally, XRP has failed to reclaim the midline of the Bollinger Bands, which aligns with the declining average. That failure keeps sellers in control of the broader trend.
Sellers Maintain Grip Near Lower Band
Price behavior near $1.32 adds to the pressure. Instead of strong bullish candles, XRP prints smaller weekly bodies close to the lower boundary. That pattern shows supply continues to meet demand at each stabilization attempt.
Historically, when XRP walks along the lower Bollinger Band on the weekly chart, the next move carries momentum. Moreover, such setups often resolve with decisive continuation or sharp recovery rather than sideways drift. Current positioning suggests the market approaches another inflection point.
Daily Chart Flags 10% Risk
On the daily chart, the lower Bollinger Band stretches toward $1.274. That level sits roughly 10 percent below current prices. Consequently, a break below $1.30 could expose XRP to that downside target.
At the same time, any strong defense of $1.32 would need follow-through buying to shift momentum. Until price reclaims higher moving averages, volatility expansion keeps both risk and opportunity elevated within a compressed range.
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