GateUser-7ec4d021

Bitcoin's realized price is no longer making new lows or breaking below the downward trend line. Now, only a breakout above the previous high is left.
Stabilizing above 76,200 perfectly aligns with the trend reversal pattern of the 123 rule.
At this point, SPY and IXIC are already resonating at new highs, and the crypto market is just around the corner.

In June 2022, the Luna crash caused the market to plummet.
In November 2022, the FTX crash caused the market to plummet.
Unfortunately, this bear market cycle did not see any crashes, not even from ETH leader Tom Lee or various coin stock companies, which is really a pity, and it may also indirectly reflect that the entire industry is becoming more robust.
Since peaking in October 2025, BTC ETFs have resumed a trend of net inflows.
If there is no deep bear market, that would be great, at least allowing us to start earning from the trend more quickly.
At this point, looking at the mac

Does BTC still have a final dip? The US stock market S&P 500 index is only 2% away from a new high? I'm really worried that the war could end at any time, and Trump might cut interest rates early for the midterm elections, which would mean missing the chance to buy at 40,000.
Right-side trading is just waiting on the inevitable path of the market. Currently, MA120 = 77,393, STH-RP = 78,615, which is about 4% of space. If it breaks above, don't hesitate, I will go long immediately.

Late at night, I always have many insights. Trading shouldn't be about making money from one or two recent trades, but about a long-term trading system with a positive expected value. Even if you lose ten times, as long as you make one profit that covers the losses and makes a profit, it's a positive expected value trading system.
There's no need for a winning percentage; the winning rate only affects your mindset. What matters is the risk-reward ratio—one profit that covers multiple losses. Over time, through compounding, you'll ultimately achieve positive results.

BTC was very strong a few days ago, and I once thought the bull market was about to return.
BTC's price hit the trend line last night and turned downward, and as soon as the news of the failed negotiations in the morning came out, the bulls were directly defeated.
If we had entered the bull market earlier, we could have made money sooner.
If we enter the bull market later, we can buy at a lower price and make more money.
Anyway, whether it goes up or down, I can accept it. It all depends on fate.

I should have studied programming carefully back then, instead of becoming a product manager😭. Now I'm picking up the code again to work on it.

Given that BTC is currently strongly linked to the U.S. economy, and the U.S. stock market has completely exited the bearish downward trend with signals appearing on the right side, I believe that if the current state of war does not worsen, BTC will find it difficult to fall below 60,000. It’s worth noting that a few days ago, Trump’s statements were so intense that he threatened to destroy Iranian civilization, yet there was no dip below 60,000.
Subjectively, I personally lean more towards a bullish scenario because of the midterm elections in November. He can’t afford to crash the economy a

BTC's current cycle's biggest disappointment is that the bull market's various on-chain indicators didn't reach the previous cycle's peak before ending. At this point, I can't help but think in reverse: if this bear market's on-chain indicators also won't fall to such extreme levels as before, what should we do?
Recently, I’ve been contemplating the multi-line integration theory, which is essentially a form of prediction. Trump’s unpredictability has already made market participants feel helpless; no one knows if prices can reach certain levels. But relying solely on predictions to make money

Although Bitcoin is still in a bearish trend, positive news has supported increased volume and a steady trendline. A long position is initiated on the daily chart, aiming for a higher timeframe resistance level around 79k.
If the price cannot go lower, set stop-losses on the right side to follow the trend. Better to make a wrong move than to miss out.

$BTC Various on-chain indicators are converging, forming a price bottom range. The opportunity to buy the dip could last for several months. Currently, the green line price is around 45,000, and generally it will fall below the green line by about 10%. Over time, by the second half of the year, the green line could reach around 50,000. Therefore, buying at 45,000 is a very good entry point. Going lower is also possible, but the probability is not particularly high.
Based on previous analysis of LTH-RP, it’s quite similar now. LTH-RP has already reached around 49,000 and is expected to go ab