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BOUNCE OR WATCH HISTORY REPEAT 🟥
We are seeing the same slip again.
> It didn't happen from 2016 to 2022
> It happened in 2022
Now we are in the same zone.
Another big red candle as $40k is the next target !
Bulls need to hold above $56k
Why this matters? 👇
Bitcoin is sitting at a level that has quietly decided entire cycles before.
On the monthly chart, the 50 SMA has acted like a structural backbone for years. In the 2016–2020 expansion, price consistently respected it.
Dips into that average were opportunities, not threats. That’s where strong hands stepped in and the broader uptrend stay
BTC2,82%
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I'm going to be honest with you.
10/10 didn't kill crypto.
We did.
Everyone wants to blame Trump's tariff post. The leverage. The algorithms.
Sure:
→ $19 billion liquidated
→ 1.6 million accounts wiped
→ Bitcoin from $122k to $104k in minutes
→ $3.2 billion gone in 60 seconds
All true.
But let's stop pretending October 10th was some freak accident.
We watched it all happen.
→ Cabals launching memecoins every week and we called it "culture"
→ Influencers dumping on their own followers and we called it "alpha"
→ Celebrities selling tokens they didn't understand and we called it "adoption"
→ The
BTC2,82%
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$ETH doesn’t move the same way it used to.
If you’re waiting for ETH to “feel safe” again, you’re usually late.
That’s how it has worked every cycle.
When RSI resets this deep prices have moved big :
> 2019 : +5600%
> 2021 : +300%
> 2025 : +265%
The pattern isn’t just about percentage gains.
It’s about how long momentum lasts after RSI bottoms.
And that length has been changing.
👉 2019 → 2021: The long build
From the 2019 RSI reset to the 2021 peak, ETH ran roughly +5600%.
That move took time. Years.
Back then, fewer traders were flipping short term. More holders sat through volatility. When
ETH3,65%
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24H Chain Revenue 👀
$INJ : $6,098
$SUI : $4,468
$HYPE : $3,495
$AVAX : $3,419
$ICP : $1,252
$ADA : $495
$APT : $419
$SEI : $269
$S : $142
$BERA : $48
Are We Cooked?
INJ-0,62%
SUI2,34%
HYPE2,29%
AVAX3,58%
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2026 Crypto Narratives Tier List
The market has matured.
Capital is rotating with intent.
Substance beats speculation in 2026.
So we ranked the narratives that matter. 👇
🔴 S Tier : RWA, AI + CRYPTO, STABLECOINS, PREDICTION MARKETS, PRIVACY / ZK
REAL WORLD ASSETS (RWA) :
→ Trillions in bonds, credit, real estate, and equities moving on-chain.
→ Institutional allocation is real, sticky, and yield-driven.
Standouts: ONDO, LINK, CPOOL
AI + CRYPTO :
→ AI agents with wallets automate trading, data, and on-chain execution.
→ Verifiable compute + decentralized models turn machines into economic acto
RWA-0,79%
ONDO3,48%
LINK3,7%
CPOOL7,07%
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What does Vitalik Buterin know?
Today he sold around $8M in $ETH
And this is not the first time !
End 2021: ~330,920 ETH
End 2022: ~250,150 ETH
End 2023: ~246,030 ETH
End 2024: ~240,610 ETH
End 2025: ~240,010 ETH
Today 240k ETH range
Even after this $8M sale, he still holds well over 200,000 ETH.
Against a circulating supply of more than 120 million ETH, and billions in daily trading volume, this is not a structural exit.
Should you really be worried about it? Because when a founder sells it might look bad at first.
First, context.
Vitalik Buterin has made very few open-market ETH sales since
ETH3,65%
AAVE3,16%
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This is WILD. 😳
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> be Bitcoin
> undervalued
> gold is up 18% this year
> Bitcoin is down 20%
> same macro environment
> same inflation fears
> same geopolitical chaos
> gold got the memo
> Bitcoin did not
> BTC-to-gold ratio at multi-year lows
> 13.5 ounces per Bitcoin
> gold market cap - $15 trillion
> Bitcoin market cap - $1.3 trillion
> that's a 10x gap
> for an asset that's supposed to be "digital gold"
> gold decoupled in late January
> crypto dumped
> they were supposed to move together
> they didn't
> Bitcoin just needs +17% to flip gold's YTD performance
> the most undervalued it's looked in years
> si
BTC2,82%
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Dear @grok , please pick the best asset for investment in current market conditions.
Remove the other 3
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The world uncertainty index just hit an ATH
- Higher than 2008.
- Higher than COVID.
and look at what's happening:
• S&P 500 above 6,800
• Gold hovering around $4,900-5,000
• Dollar Index crashing to ~97
• Crypto fear & greed index at 8.
Every hard asset ripped while fiat collapsed. gold nearly doubled since trump's inauguration. silver went 4x before correcting.
And bitcoin? sitting at ~$67k. down 47% from its $126k october high.
This feels like 2019 all over again. gold ran first, then btc did a 10x. gold
broke out in 2019, btc didn't move until late 2020.
The setup might be even better this
SPX10,54%
BTC2,82%
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No fluff - to the point $CPOOL | @ClearpoolFin roadmap if you missed it. 👇
1️⃣ The Product Engine: Structured Yield Vaults
Clearpool is expanding its product layer with structured vaults that convert real economic activity into standardized, on-chain yield products - all accessible through a unified interface.
The objective: make diverse yield sources accessible without bespoke integrations.
The vault categories include:
• Government Debt – Beginning with U.S. T-bills
➡️ USDX T-Pool
• Private Credit – Corporate credit, payment financing, invoice financing
➡️ Dynamic Pools, Clearpool Prime, Cr
CPOOL7,07%
BTC2,82%
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It took 30 months for Bitcoin to hit a new ATH after 2021.
If the cycle repeats, Bitcoin doesn’t see $120K until 2028.
And what I fear the most?
This cycle is NOT DIFFERENT in terms of price action.
Let that sink in.
1️⃣ PHASE ONE: FIRST TOP → SHOCK
March 2021.
Bitcoin prints its first major top.
Momentum overheated.
Retail euphoric.
RSI stretched.
Then came the correction.
Fast forward.
December 2024.
First top of this cycle.
Again, overheated conditions.
Again, stretched RSI.
Again, sharp reset.
Same structure. Different year.
The market always cools off after vertical expansion.
That hasn’t
BTC2,82%
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When you compare today’s privacy-focused blockchains side by side, $XNT (Neptune Privacy) clearly stands apart.
Neptune Privacy is built on zk-STARKs and Mutator Sets, delivering strong on-chain privacy without trusted setups and with post-quantum cryptography at its core. While many privacy projects rely on older cryptographic assumptions or trusted hardware, Neptune is designed for the long term.
→ Quantum resistance matters.
As quantum computing progresses, legacy privacy models like ring signatures and traditional zk-SNARKs face real security risks. $XNT is already post-quantum safe, avoid
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🇳🇱 Netherlands : 36% (unrealized gains tax)
Countries with 0% Crypto Taxes:
🇦🇪 UAE : 0% tax
🇨🇾 Cyprus : 0% tax
🇵🇹 Portugal : 0% tax
🇵🇦 Panama : 0% tax
🇸🇬 Singapore : 0% tax
🇲🇹 Malta : 0% tax
🇧🇧 Barbados : 0% tax
🇧🇲 Bermuda : 0% tax
🇰🇾 Cayman Islands : 0% tax
🇭🇰 Hong Kong : 0% tax
🇲🇺 Mauritius : 0% tax
🇻🇺 Vanuatu : 0% tax
🇬🇮 Gibraltar : 0% tax
🇱🇮 Liechtenstein : 0% tax
🇸🇰 Slovenia : 0% tax
🇨🇭 Switzerland : 0% tax
🇺🇾 Uruguay : 0% tax
🇸🇻 El Salvador : 0% tax
🇵🇷 Puerto Rico : 0% tax
How hard is your country hitting your bags?
Drop your flag below 👇
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ALTSEASON COMES IN WAVES
For the last 2 years, we have ignore this 120 day cycle that comes when everyone is giga bullish.
Not “a bad week.”
Not “a red month.”
A full 4-month downtrend.
If you’re sitting in drawdowns right now, this is the first real reason to feel a bit hopeful again.
👉 THE PATTERN NOBODY IS TALKING ABOUT
Look at Total3 (altcoin market cap ex BTC/ETH) since Jan 2024.
We get a push.
Then we get a long grind down.
Q1 2024: altcoins rip.
Then they enter a 120-day downtrend where everything feels dead and bounces get sold.
Later in the cycle, we get another big leg up (the chart
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ETH3,65%
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