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Cryptocurrency Market on March 10
Trump's classic taco move (Iran war will end soon) triggered a massive liquidation in the crude oil market—only exchange-traded crude oil saw an explosion of 80 million.
With the easing of Middle East tensions and crude oil liquidation, funds flowed back into the dollar market. After Trump's speech, the US dollar index rose, and cryptocurrencies also rallied. Since last night, the 1-minute chart has shown unusual movements, and today's main strategy is to catch explosive moves on the 1-minute chart—fast in, fast out.
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The most pathetic thing in the crypto world is her damn sentimentality.
The avatar speaking now used to sell for 0.5 #BTC.
Now, I don't even know where to sell myself...
BTC-0,21%
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The biggest risk for cryptocurrencies in 2026 is not the structure itself, but the warning signs of a recession in the United States.
On March 9th, oil prices surged 16% in one day, directly increasing the recession expectation for next year by 10 percentage points. Will crude oil drive U.S. inflation? Actually, the Americans became energy self-sufficient in 2019, and the current panic is entirely based on expectations > facts.
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Share a money-making tip from the past two days
Just keep an eye on the Strait of Hormuz, this has a much higher success rate than watching K-line charts🤡
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Cryptocurrency market on March 9th.
Last time, I mentioned that short positions could be taken, as a breakthrough of $100 in crude oil was highly probable. I didn't expect it to hit a new high since 2022 so quickly.
Iran elected Khamenei's "successor" as leader, while Israel and Trump are both issuing tough words. If crude oil continues to rise, it will trigger global high inflation expectations.
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March 7 Cryptocurrency Market
The overall trend is still downward, mainly because the risk-reward ratio here is too low. Compared to rebound opportunities, oil, Iran situation, inflation, and strikes are all black swans.
After the surprising non-farm payrolls report in February, the probability of a 25BP rate cut in April only increased by 2 percentage points, completely overshadowed by inflation concerns. U.S. stocks opened lower and continued to decline, while oil and gold surged, and the market has returned to risk-averse sentiment.
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This #BTC short squeeze is crazy
The spot premium has reached a new high for 2026, yet the funding rate is still negative......
BTC-0,21%
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Cryptocurrency on March 5th.
The meat eaten yesterday needs to be well digested. Be cautious about chasing gains today. I opened a few trades in the morning, but all hit stop-loss.
At the 74,000 level, many are trying to recover from losses and chase profits simultaneously. Plus, with global stock markets falling and US stocks rising, if this divergence continues, dollar assets will be forced to be sold off. Without liquidity, the crypto market may also experience a rebound.
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March 4th Cryptocurrency Market.
If it doesn't fall, it will definitely rebound. Stocks and gold are falling, so why isn't crypto dropping?
The key factor is crude oil! Iran's blockade of the Strait of Hormuz caused crude oil to surge 12.5% in the past 3 days, increasing industrial production costs. As a result, the US manufacturing and transportation sectors led the decline yesterday, but the US dollar index rose by 1.1%.
US wars serve the dollar; when the dollar is strong, crypto benefits.
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March 2nd Crypto. Last night, crypto surged dramatically, truly thanks to the US stock market.
Here's an anti-intuitive fact: 🇺🇸 During wartime, the probability of US stocks rising is over 90%+
2003 Iraq War: 4 out of the first 5 days rose
2001 Afghanistan War: 4 out of the first 5 days rose
1991 Gulf War: All first 5 days rose
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Have you noticed that the people who make KOLs wildly successful are often slackers, thugs, scumbags, scammers, and these five types of people?
Why is that? Because stories like "Insider Tips, Getting Rich Overnight, Rich and Beautiful Women Falling in Love with Me" are too tempting, and 99% of people can't resist. And the only ones who would dare to make such wishes besides Buddha are these very people mentioned above.
It's the same reason women are often deceived by scumbags.
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March 1st Cryptocurrency Market.
Gold and crude oil opened higher and then declined, indicating that market panic is lower than expected and also easing pressure on the crypto market. The trading volume in crypto has visibly decreased. Today is likely to be a sideways market with fluctuations. In this kind of market, the best approach is to follow the volatility, pick some opportunities, and then exit.
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Iran also has a hidden bomb - oil 🛢️
Rising oil prices will intensify inflation expectations → liquidity tightening → BTC faces short-term pressure
Futures market expects a gain of $5-10 per barrel when trading opens on Monday
Don't think you lack the ability to block the Strait of Hormuz; Iran may be inexperienced, but it's still better than Somali pirates, right?
BTC-0,21%
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Under Trump's administration, after U.S. military actions, there is always a "three-day feast."
Today is the second day.
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February 29 Cryptocurrency Market Index
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February 28, Cryptocurrency Market
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This wave of market movement is more like a wild trader’s shake-up.
Since 66000 was the previous high, retail investors are unlikely to cause such a large 1-minute level fluctuation at this position.
Based on this, 66600 is most likely the ceiling for the rebound. If there’s no strong breakout, it’s still wise to be cautious about chasing gains.
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The 15% tariffs imposed by Trump are very likely a "bottomless pit."
The Supreme Court rejected only plan A (the Emergency Economic Act—used during presidential emergencies), and then Trump continued to raise tariffs with plan B (1974 Trade Act—used for international balance of payments.
Besides plan B, Trump still has bullets like national security and unfair trade to use. So as long as Trump wants to fight, the trade war won't end.
Looking at global assets, gold and silver are rising, and stock markets that can open, such as Korea, Hong Kong, and Vietnam, are also up. Only the crypto market
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Recently practicing short-term trades, all of them are f😭king losing money.
The biggest misconception is trading trend-following positions. Actually, in this market, there is no trend now; neither upward nor downward has strength. Trend-following positions are inherently difficult, with narrow fluctuations, making it easy to hit stop-loss.
Today, I switched to buying low and selling high. When the position is right, I buy and sell decisively, without waiting for clear signals. The win rate immediately improves.
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