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The blockade of the Strait of Hormuz will become inevitable, and this is not even Iran's last card. If the regime is pushed to the brink of collapse, Iran can still implement a "scorched earth policy." The final showdown with the U.S. military's involvement is probably unavoidable, and after this round of conflict, both sides will go all in.
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On the whole, I think that if it is judged that the bull market will peak within half a year, the latter arbitrage model is more appropriate, because the decline will lead to higher principal/pledge income, so that the comprehensive yield will rise, and the snx/btc exchange rate will There will be rising expectations. If it is judged that the follow-up market will be long and slow, the former risk-free arbitrage is more appropriate (but the risk of margin explosion should be avoided).
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From my personal point of view, the bull market has reached the top range, and the trading and mining cycle of synthetix will cause the snx/btc exchange rate to return to rising expectations soon. It is recommended to adopt the second method for pledge arbitrage.
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HahaIsADogvip:
It fell like this and rose a little today. Do you call this a bull market?
暂时到位平空了,给出两种故事,观察一周。
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A 🧵 领略 Franklin 的前世今生 ⬇️
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#凉兮 凉兮号被封了,以后少了看耍猴的日常了,该无聊了。
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币价/TVL 双双实现 500% 增长,固定利率这一“证伪”赛道又跑出来 Pendle 这老树开花的项目。固定利率?不,是利率赌场!这个行业里永远是“赌”最吸引人
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定了个闹钟起床,清仓提币,休息一个月,5月中旬大力做空🙈🙈🙈
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VikyBabyvip:
厉害
I_m getting very close to finishing my Wallet Tracker Notion page with all the info you need to become an on-chain detective🕵️‍♂️
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美国衰退预期号角吹响,美元强势拉回,这里如果能走出来形成w底,将是今年风险资产的主跌段,核心就看4月中到5月中这个时间段,很大概率出现高点。
逢高做空
逢高做空
逢高做空
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周末看到摩根大通的那个fud,周一开盘就果断做空黄金了。美元企稳筑底,有趣的阶段开启了。
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多头行情预计很快就结束了,接下来可以交易衰退了。现在的宏观环境和73年真是有些异曲同工之妙。
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