Crypto_Xincheng

2.24 ETH Market Analysis
From a broader perspective, Ethereum hasn't fully retraced yet, but currently, it's not a good time to go short at this position. What to watch for today is whether the price breaks below the four-hour level at 1800 and whether it can close above that level. If it can close above 1800, attention should be paid to this level, as it may trigger a rebound after an oversold condition. However, the rebound is unlikely to be strong, so entry points at this level are considered left-side entries. Conservative traders can patiently wait for opportunities on the right side. In

2.24 BTC Market Analysis
The market is extremely fearful, and many people are asking whether a reversal is possible at this level. I personally believe that the probability of a reversal at this point is very low. It requires attention to macro events and a relatively strong positive catalyst to have a chance. However, I think it's almost impossible at this stage. Currently, Bitcoin is undergoing a monthly-level correction at this position. From various timeframes, the correction has not been completed. When it dropped to 60,000 in early February, I mentioned to everyone to watch the 71,600 le

Major Events This Week
February 24
President Trump will deliver the State of the Union Address on February 24;
The US SEC will decide whether to increase the IBIT options position limit;
February 27
The US will release January PPI data on February 27 at 21:30;

Ranking of Safe Investments for Ordinary People

The chart below shows the upward trend line that has not been broken since 2019.
From a technical perspective, the 60,000 level is a very important support now, but we should not only rely on technical analysis and also consider macroeconomic factors.
At this level, the market makers will continue to create panic, dump, shake out, fake breakouts, fake breakdowns, and then cause liquidation in the futures market, only to then scoop low-priced chips from retail investors.
This will be followed by a violent rally across the entire crypto market.
What we need to do now is stay away from futures an

This anonymous user (ID: YqwbW9hr) predicts that by 2026, BTC will reach $1,000,000 and ETH will reach $100,000.
Famous 4chan crypto predictions include:
① 2018: BTC bottoms out on December 15 (accurate, with a price of about $3,200).
② 2021: BTC reaches $87,000 (close to accurate, with an actual peak of $69,000).
③ October 2025: BTC peaks at $126,000 (accurate).
These predictions have an accuracy rate of about 80-100%
#何时是最佳入场时机

Happy New Year everyone. It's been a few days since I last provided a comprehensive market analysis, so today I'll give a brief overview:
Yesterday, there was news of progress in the US-Iran negotiations, but right after the market opened, Trump again expressed a tough stance on Iran and ordered the production of 22 more B2 fighters. These developments have intensified the geopolitical conflict between the US and Iran, leading to a decline in the US stock market, which in turn has driven cryptocurrencies to continue falling. Market sentiment and capital flow are in disarray, but fortunately, f

Duan Yongping increased his NVIDIA holdings by 11 times in Q4, reflecting changes in his portfolio during last year's fourth quarter. He also established new positions in CoreWeave, Credo, and Tempus AI. At the same time, he reduced holdings in stocks such as Alibaba, Apple, and Western Petroleum.
Compared to A-shares:
- CoreWeave (computing power leasing): Inspur Information
- Credo (data transmission/chips): Recurrent Energy
- Tempus AI (medical data): KingMed Diagnostics

Historical Spring Festival Market Trends: Bitcoin Usually Rises During Spring Festival📈
I think Bitcoin is also likely to rise this year because the four-hour chart is already forming a bottom, but it probably won't go too high from this level.

2.14
Last night, the CPI data was below expectations, which was a positive signal. Combined with the non-farm payroll data from a few days ago, it ensured the resilience of the U.S. economy and increased expectations for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates. The market rebounded as expected. With this sentiment entering the holiday, the upcoming mood should be better. Additionally, the Supreme Court announced today that the opinion on Trump's tariffs will be on February 20th; we will see the specific outcome.
BTC
As the year-end approaches, historical data shows that aside from the Spring

Tonight's Non-Farm Payrolls Expectations and Their Impact on Cryptocurrency
Tonight (February 11) at 21:30, the US January Non-Farm Payrolls report will be released, and the market is in a "wait-and-see" mode. The key is not whether the data is strong or weak, but whether an "unexpected" event occurs that can change the rate cut expectations.
① Conventional Data: Expected 70,000 new jobs (previously 50,000), Unemployment Rate 4.4%. Goldman Sachs is more pessimistic (45,000), Citibank expects 135,000, and the divergence could trigger intense volatility.
② Impact Logic: Using the "Dollar" as a t

Here is the AI's response:
I am now considering a 5-year investment horizon. Which of the following products would yield the highest returns?
① U.S. stocks
② Gold
③ BTC
④ Silver
⑤ Futures
⑥ A-shares
As expected, BTC remains the most worthwhile investment target.

2.10
BTC
The current market is mainly focused on repairing sentiment, and the overall daily outlook remains unchanged. At this position, the price will still fluctuate around 67,800 to 71,600. The daily chart indicates that the rebound has not yet ended; its purpose is to repair indicators. Meanwhile, attention should be paid to whether the four-hour level can break above 71,600, and only if the MACD crosses above the zero line can the trend continue. Otherwise, it will continue to move within the range, and after completing this move, another downward move may follow. Support is at 67,900-63,

2.9
Key Events This Week:
February 10th: The White House will hold a stablecoin yield discussion meeting again next Tuesday;
February 11th: The US will release January non-farm payroll data at 21:30; market expects 70,000 new jobs and an unemployment rate of 4.4%
February 13th: At 21:30, January CPI data will be released; core CPI growth is expected to drop to the lowest since early 2021
BTC
The market pressure remains high, liquidity has not recovered. The recent decline was significant but did not show obvious bearish signals. This situation is the most concerning because, without a clear re

Key Events This Week:
February 10
The White House will hold another stablecoin yield discussion meeting next Tuesday;
February 11
The United States will release January non-farm payroll data at 21:30 on February 11; market expectations are for 70,000 new jobs and an unemployment rate of 4.4%
February 13
The United States will release January CPI data at 21:30 on February 13; core CPI growth is expected to drop to the lowest since early 2021
#当前行情抄底还是观望？

BTC Bold prediction for the bottoming time and the peak time: (see chart below)
Bottom:
October-November 2026
Expected at $45,000-$50000
Next top:
September-November 2029
Expected at $200,000-$230000
The rest is up to time.

The current volatility and downward trend may continue until the first half of 2026. The key to a rebound lies in improving macro liquidity and easing internal market pressures.
Key Factors for Market Continuation:
① Macro Pressure: Federal Reserve policies, geopolitical tensions, and potential AI bubble risks may keep risk assets like Bitcoin under pressure.
② Internal Market Pressure: Ongoing selling by long-term holders and intermittent inflows of institutional funds have led to a "slow bleeding" spot selling pressure.
Potential Rebound Signals and Timing:
Most analyses suggest that the mar