BTCFREE

Regarding the bottom of #Bitcoin, this has been a hot topic lately online~
In fact, many people started calculating the bottom range right after confirming the end of the bull market~
Unavoidably, since October last year, I have been continuously estimating the potential bottom range~
Its importance is self-evident~
Currently, there are some preliminary conclusions. I'll say a few words simply, not to compete for prediction accuracy~
If Bitcoin gives you a $40,000 buying opportunity and you can withstand a 3~4 layer floating loss, then you can gradually buy in and hold~

Later, I will talk about my assessment of the bottom of #Bitcoin~

Gold surges, Bitcoin declines. When this kind of combination appears, the market's first reaction is often just two words: safe haven~
As funds start flowing into traditional safe-haven assets like gold, while risk assets come under pressure, it's usually not just a single technical factor at play but increasing macro uncertainties—geopolitical tensions, liquidity expectations, or sudden event risks—that can act as triggers~
Funds don't speak, but they vote with their prices~
From a market correlation perspective, gold represents "stability," while #Bitcoin is still regarded as a risk asset in

The New Year is over, and Bitcoin should shift from "holiday mode" back to "normal rhythm"~
During the holiday period, trading volume was light and volatility was subdued, more like a period of emotional dormancy; now liquidity is gradually returning, the order book is gaining strength, and every price move is more substantial than before~
Structurally, the consolidation phase often serves as a buildup for the next trend~
The necessary corrections are made, the cleansings are thorough, and the real market trend usually begins to unfold slowly after everyone wakes up from the holiday atmosphere

The New Year is coming soon. Do you think #Bitcoin will crash or rally?
According to previous years' patterns, funds tend to be cautious before the holiday, and trading volume often contracts, leading the market into a state of "pretending to be calm"~
But the market's favorite move is to suddenly create emotional volatility when everyone expects it to be quiet~
From a structural perspective, if the trend isn't clear, the market is more likely to move sideways rather than in a single direction before the holiday; the true direction usually becomes clearer only when liquidity recovers after the

2025 is already over, summarized in one word: chaos~
Macro chaos, market chaos, and even more chaotic emotions. Asset prices are like roller coasters; one moment we're talking about narratives, the next moment we're talking about faith.
You think you're following a trend, but in reality, you're being led by the rhythm.
As the Chinese New Year approaches in 2026, one word to predict: absolute~
“Absolute” does not mean despair, but rather extreme differentiation, extreme competition, and extreme opportunities.
The market will be more intense, volatility will be greater, and whether you make mone

It's almost the New Year~
The market is so quiet~
It's time to take a break for yourself~
Trading is for a better life, not to make life revolve around trading~
You don't have to watch the charts, you can turn off the K-line first, and prioritize returning to real life~
The market is always there, missing a day or two of operation won't make a difference; but family reunions, meeting friends, and rare moments of relaxation—once missed, it's not so easy to make up for. The money earned is ultimately to improve your quality of life, not to create more anxiety~
People who know how to rest often g

The secret to trading, if there is one, probably boils down to two words: patience.
Be patient and wait for the structure to form~
Be patient and wait for the emotions to settle~
Be patient and wait for the price to reach the level where you should make a move~
Most losses are not because of wrong market direction judgment, but because of rushing into the market too quickly, too eager to prove you're right. When the market isn't ready, if you act prematurely, the result is often a "lesson" from the market~
True experts don't necessarily spend a lot of time watching the charts, and they don't t

Life depends on fate, luck, and feng shui; accumulating virtue and reading books;
Six names, seven appearances, eight reverence for gods; nine connections with noble people, ten nurturing health.
Spiritual matters should not be neglected. It is not superstition, but a form of reverence and self-discipline.

Today’s #Bitcoin market really feels somewhat “indescribable”—
The rhythm is sluggish, and the direction is unclear—
No matter how you look at it, it doesn’t seem to be delivering a certain market trend for retail investors—
At this stage, blindly being bearish often only results in early misses—
Turning bullish, more likely, will only be late rather than wrong—
From Dow Theory, the trend has not yet become clear again; prices are still oscillating within a range, repeatedly testing support and resistance, with bulls and bears in a tug-of-war—
From wave structure analysis, it looks more like a

I'm going to withdraw some cash later, and I'm a bit curious—can I conveniently get a few consecutive new bills? The probability is probably a bit higher than catching the lowest point. If I really manage to get consecutive new bills, I'll consider it a good luck buff for myself, a good omen. If not, that's normal too; after all, good luck doesn't appear all the time. The market is like this, life is like this. It's a surprise if you encounter it, and if not, don't take it too seriously. Staying calm is more important than whether the numbers are consecutive or not. Hahaha~

The 60,000 level is most likely not the true bottom of #Bitcoin in the real sense. A more realistic scenario is: first a rebound that gives you some hope, then sideways consolidation to test your patience, and finally a decisive move to "seal the deal," teaching both the hesitant and stubborn holders a lesson. Only then will the market gradually stabilize. According to Dow Theory, the true bottom often takes time to build, with repeated tests and volume contraction to form an effective demand zone. From wave structure analysis, this looks more like the end of an adjustment wave, which usually

In a short period of time, #Bitcoin's market performance has been strong, just as we expected~ Previously, sentiment hit rock bottom and chips were washed out. Now the price is starting to rebound and showing strength~ No doubt about it, it won't be long before someone can't hold back and starts shouting "The bull market is back"~ That's how the market works: doubting life when it falls, recharging faith when it rises~ The real challenge isn't in judging the direction, but in whether you can maintain your rhythm when emotions swing back and forth~