MinusTwoDegrees

On Thursday, the US stock market closed higher, but the crypto market did not rise, indicating a rather grim situation. This week, the bulls have been essentially pressed to the ground and rubbed. The off-market negative factors such as Greenland (Denmark is preparing) and the Iran geopolitical conflict will continue to influence the market. Watching gold continue to surge and approach $5000 per ounce, while Bitcoin remains volatile around 90,000, once again proves that Bitcoin has never had the function of a safe-haven asset.
The Federal Reserve's pause on interest rate cuts in January is vir

Whether BTC is strengthening or not, we first need to look at SOL's performance. Although BTC, as the market leader, determines the direction of almost all altcoins, in reality, BTC tends to follow SOL. This is my unique perspective and summary since the second half of 2023, when I started trading contracts based on SOL's price at 32. I have also made many predictions at the end of multiple downward and rebound waves over the past two years, most of which have been validated.
SOL moves a step ahead of BTC, so at each end of a correction, it always stops falling first, followed by BTC. After BT

Currently, the three major coins are approaching critical levels:
BTC needs to stay above 97,700 to open the door to 100,000. To stay above 97,700, it must rebound to 98,800-99,400 and not dip below 97,700 during the pullback.
ETH needs to stay above 3,380-3,440, with the 3,600 door open. To stay above 3,380, it needs to rebound to 3,472-3,528.
SOL needs to stay above 147, with the 170 door open. When the price hits 157, staying above 147 is basically secure.
After stabilizing above these levels and reaching a new high (near the weekly Bollinger middle band and the weekly EMA52), entering shor

SOL breaks below 148.5, with a short-term target of 154-156.5. After a slight pullback to confirm stability above 147, look for 159; after a pullback to confirm stability above 152, look for around 168, which is a short position.
ETH stabilizes above 3380-3440; upon reaching around 3616, consider shorting.

Starting from New Year's Day, the rebound was at the 3-day moving average level. This week, it upgraded to the 5-day moving average level rebound, and next week will be the weekly level rebound. This is a continuous upward progression. Of course, the 3-day moving average rebound has not yet completed, and the upward momentum is still strengthening. Additionally, the 1-day MACD is climbing above the zero line, so since January 1st, the emphasis has been on mainly going long before the end of the month, with short positions as a supplement.
Today, BTC entered a consolidation zone between 96,000

Recently, while taking a ride in a ride-hailing car, I overheard the driver talking about his experiences. He said he had been in the clothing wholesale business on Hanzheng Street in Hankou for over a decade, and at his peak, his store was more than 500 square meters. This year, it went bankrupt. He had taken out a loan and cashed out 3 million, which is now overdue, and he plans not to repay it. He has also divorced his wife. He used to be a boss; how could he lower himself to work for someone else? Now he has no choice but to drive for a ride-hailing service.
There are fewer people taking t

This Wednesday, switch to strong long positions. Starting next week, the daily position can be adjusted to 18%*25 times, with 5-7% flexibility for Margin Replenishment. If it's a hundred times, the position should be divided by 4. Margin Replenishment should only be placed as open orders at support points below the market price, with the aim of receiving small long wick candles to lower the average price a bit; do not rush to replenish at specific points. It is safer to manually replenish at the market price and chase the price after breaking through resistance, for example, manually reple

Young man, if you want to achieve your dreams in the coin market, try not to get married first, but instead immerse yourself wholeheartedly in it. Only after you succeed should you plan for the future. This is because investment carries both risks and opportunities, while marriage emphasizes stability and is not good for taking risks. This can create significant obstacles in your work or career as well as in your pursuit of ideals, causing you to hesitate and making it difficult to have the determination to make decisions at critical moments. Especially if the woman is a strong, refined egoist

Where might ETH's lowest point stop falling next week? Looking at today, ETH has strong support around 4112, which is the short-term buy the dip point. However, considering the possibility of a long wick candle, it could drop to 4072/4066.
Next Thursday, the Federal Reserve's beige book will be released, and on Friday, the non-farm payrolls report. These two significant pieces of information will definitely lead to a mix of sharp falls and rises, with one suppressing and the other lifting. If the price happens to approach the aforementioned levels on Wednesday, caution should be exercised as a

Sol is set to accelerate its pump next week. The high point for the month is still seen at 227-233. If it holds above 200, it will become the bottom of a large swing trading range between 200-300, and a huge pump will emerge above.

Sol is quite special, it has been trading sideways between 186-177 these days because 176 is the golden ratio point of its major swing trading, and the support level is very strong. So the current position between 182-184 is neither high nor low, and there is not much short order meat here, with the risk of being countered. Once it breaks through 186.5, it will rush to 190-194. Therefore, for short-term entry into a short order for sol, it is most suitable above 187.5.
As long as 175 does not break, it is not advisable to chase short orders below 182. If it touches 177-176 again, you can conti

Short order at sol 185, with a stop loss at 186.55. You can use 1.55 points to test whether its pullback has ended. If it breaks through 186.55, it will first go to 192.5. As long as it does not effectively fall below around 176, do not chase short below 180.
Buy points for SOL in the second half of the year: 175.65, 167.85, 155.75, 143.85 (not easy to reach), 131.85 (not easy to reach).
Selling points: 227, 247, 274, 296.
Can be executed at any of the above points. The proportion of buying or selling depends on yourself.

Last night, the short orders for the three major coins allowed BTC to take profit at 113333, ETH at 4112, and SOL at 184.85. Currently, except for SOL, which is 0.7 points away from taking profit, the others have all been closed. ETH has retested around 4072 as expected; 4072 is the starting point for the attack on 5k, after breaking the 4k level a few days ago from below. It's inevitable to pause here, as there is only one barrier separating it from the 4k threshold. Tonight, we will see the strength of the bulls' resistance near the 4k level. Therefore, there's no need to chase shorts during

Today, the starting point for BTC is 116938 in the morning, which is 10000 points lower than yesterday's high; ETH's starting point is 4386, which is 146 points lower than yesterday's high; SOL's starting point is 185.75, which is 7.6 points lower than yesterday's high. The short order taken in the morning, hold on, no matter how much it rebounds today, it won't reach today's starting point or the cost price of the short order.
The support points for BTC going down are 113450/113333, and 112000 (if it breaks through, it could go to 111850/111555). This is the resistance area for the bulls, as

The maximum pressure for ETH in the short-term is between 4380-4440. There has been no breakthrough in this area from last night to this morning, indicating that it has fallen out of the range. The drop point started yesterday at 4532 at 7:00 AM, and this morning at 6:30, the highest reached was only 4386, which is 146 points lower than yesterday morning's high. The three weak supports below 4380 are: 4336, 4280, and 4228, all of which were reached yesterday. Therefore, this wave today will inevitably break 4228, with the low expected to be in the range of 4172-4080. Within this range, 4150-41

Today, after taking profit on the short order with this wave down, one can buy the dip. BTC 112000 is currently the most important defense line, and long positions generally have resistance.
btc buy the dip: 113450 (short order, need to monitor the market to decide whether to enter), 111850/111555
eth: 4166/4150 (long positions, monitor to decide whether to enter), 4112, 4072 (weak support), near 3996
sol: 176.25/175.65, 168.85