苏禾交易笔记

Weekly summary within this week
At the beginning of the week, BTC broke 86,000 USDT, and by Friday, it surged to a high of 92,600 USDT, rebounding over 7% during the week; ETH also strengthened, stabilizing above the 3,000 USDT mark, with a peak of 3,074 USDT, accumulating a rise of over 9%.
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Environmental Impact: The Federal Reserve has signaled a "gradual rate cut," the government has reopened, and combined with the previous overselling triggering a technical rebound, capital inflow is driving the mainstream cryptocurrencies to recover.
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Key price levels: BTC short-term resistance at $92,0

The 4-hour moving averages show a nascent bullish arrangement, with prices holding above the EMA7 and EMA30 support bands. However, the MACD shows a top divergence, with higher trade volumes decreasing and a pullback demand present. On the daily chart, the MACD histogram has turned positive for five consecutive days, enhancing the recovery momentum. However, the upper EMA120 (3119 USD) and the 3100 - 3130 range show significant resistance, making a substantial breakthrough difficult in the short term. The key support below is at 2980 USD, while 2930 USD forms a secondary strong support.
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Oper

BTC in the evening was affected by the closure of the US stock market, with low liquidity in the earlier market, and the trend was mainly volatile; after the US stock market opened, liquidity gradually recovered, and the current round of Rebound is still the best time to place short orders!

From a technical perspective, the 30-day moving average continues to decline, creating strong pressure on the price, and the selling willingness is strong with no reduction in selling pressure. In terms of operations, we need to continue the core idea of "short orders" from this morning and not be misled

Tonight's half-day window seizes the opportunity, with BTC support at 90000 and resistance at 92000.
Entry suggestion: Long above 91500 and below 91000, target locked around 500 points, do not overexpose #BTC #反弹币种推荐

ETH11.28

First resistance: 3080-3100 (short-term strong resistance range)
Second resistance: 3119 (EMA120 strong resistance level)
First support: 2980 (key defense level for pullback)
Second support: 2940 (trend reversal critical point)

If the pullback stabilizes at 2980 USD, take a light long position, targeting the 3080-3100 USD range.
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If it breaks below the key support of $2940, stop loss and exit to avoid rebound #ETH #以太坊

Yesterday, BTC fluctuated around 91000 USD, with volatility dropping to the lowest level since April of this year. The MACD indicator overall leans towards supporting BTC's fluctuation and rebound. If it can hold above the 91500 resistance level this afternoon, it is highly likely to launch an attack towards the 93500 - 94200 range; if it pulls back and falls below the 90000 key support level, it may further test the 88000 line, and one should be wary of the risk of long positions' momentum quickly fading. #BTC

11.28 Ethereum go long is the right time: 3000 level stabilizes, long positions momentum fully released

After a quick stabilization around 2985 for Ethereum after the white盘 correction, the key level of 3000 has turned into strong support. Coupled with the liquidity inflow expectation after the Thanksgiving market closure in the US, now is a good opportunity to go long.

Technical signals are clear: A four consecutive bullish candle breakout pattern has formed on the 4-hour level, MACD has made a second golden cross and continues to expand, and RSI has risen from the oversold area to the ne

The 90,000 level is as solid as a rock, the daily chart RSI has moved away from Oversold, and the MACD has formed a golden cross pattern with higher trade volumes, indicating clear bullish signals on the technical front. With Harvard backing 400 million in funds, the intraday oscillation center is shifting upwards, with a strong defense at the 90,000 level below and targeting the short-term resistance at 92,000+ above. In a low fluctuation environment, the cost-effectiveness stands out, so set a stop loss and act decisively.

Summary of today's core influencing factors for 11.28 BTC

Currently, BTC is fluctuating around the 90,000 mark, and the intraday trend is mainly driven by three key factors that traders need to pay close attention to!

The Federal Reserve's Beige Book shows that the economy is slowing down, with the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in December soaring to 86.9%. The expectation of global liquidity easing provides bottom support for BTC, continuing the upward momentum from earlier.
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Yesterday, BTC rose by 4.5% but triggered 98,000 people to be liquidated (worth $297 million).

11.28 Morning BTC Trading Strategy

In terms of market trends, BTC has encountered resistance for the second time in the short term, with the 92000 level showing significant pressure, clearly becoming a key resistance level that is hard to break. The hourly chart shows that the price rebounded without reaching the upper band and then began a series of downward movements, with rebound momentum evidently lacking; the MACD and KDJ indicators are both showing a bearish arrangement, indicating that the short-term weak pattern may continue. During the day, one can take advantage of the rebound oppo

Is there really someone who doesn't know why BTC suddenly pumped in the early morning? Last night, 🦅 extended the one-year exemption on 178 tariffs to our country, which improved market sentiment and caused a brief rise, but due to the upcoming Thanksgiving, the Trading Volume did not change much.
In the long run, the extension of tariff exemptions means an upgrade in the stability of the Sino-American supply chain, alleviating cost pressure on enterprises and directly raising global market risk appetite—while BTC, as a highly elastic risk asset, has always closely followed the warming rh

The core influencing factors in the market show a mixed trend: the probability of the Fed maintaining interest rates unchanged in December has risen to 70.2%, while the probability of rate cuts has fallen to 29.8%. The expectation of tightening dollar liquidity is creating an implicit pressure of 1.5%-2% on encryption assets; at the same time, risk sentiment is marginally improving, with the probability of the U.S. government shutdown ending reaching 86%. The market anticipates dual favourable information from liquidity injection and legislative windows, combined with the resurgence of net inf

Pumped 1k points more than predicted, does not affect the continued downward trend, let's see if it goes down to 88000-89000 ok? #今日你看涨还是看跌？