OldWolfMarketJudge

Fluctuations in the external environment affect the market’s trend. Don’t rely on subjective guesswork—use the market’s structure to infer what’s next + plan a reasonable position size, and steadily nail down the rhythm of the “big pie.”

4.25 Afternoon BTC Public Strategy: Volatility at High Levels, Bull-Bear Battle
Market Situation
Today, after spiking to 78,507, it pulled back and consolidated; current price around 78,047, with continued mid-range consolidation at high levels, short-term slightly weak, but the overall bullish trend remains intact.
📍 Key Range (Current price 78,047)
🔺 Resistance Above
1. 78,500-78,700 (Intraday strong resistance, if the rebound cannot break through, expect continued decline)
2. 79,000-79,500 (Strong resistance zone, only when volume stabilizes above this level can the upward space open)
🔻

Sources confirm that the talks between the US and Iran in Islamabad are "highly likely to achieve a breakthrough." This means that geopolitical risk sentiment is expected to ease!
💎 BTC market response:
The price is currently oscillating near 77,850, fully confirming the previous predictive logic.
🔸 Bullish logic: situation eases → oil prices fall → interest rate cut expectations rise → positive for BTC.
🔸 Current strategy:
👉 Stand firm above 78,600: go long with the trend, aiming to break through the psychological barrier of 80,000.
👉 Break below 77,000: risk aversion increases instead o

Big pancake's short position this wave, brothers are already full!
10:43 Directly call the entry
800 points of profit, taken in one hour
No hindsight, no tricks

The idea is perfectly realized

4.24 Midday BTC Public Strategy
Today, after surging to 78,700, it oscillated and pulled back, currently around 77,700, with continued mid-level consolidation, short-term weakness, but the overall bullish trend remains intact.
Key Range (Current price 78,200)
• Resistance above:
1. 78,500-78,800 (Intraday strong resistance, if the rebound cannot break through, it will continue to decline)
2. 79,400-80,000 (Strong resistance zone, only when volume increases and it stabilizes above can the upward space open)
• Support below:
1. 77,000 (Short-term core support, stabilization can attempt small lon

Today, BTC is moving exactly as I thought in the morning.

⚠️ Urgent update! Two core signals today that will definitely impact the crypto market
1. 【Geopolitical Trigger Point】: Tensions in the Middle East + possible breakdown of US-Iran negotiations tomorrow, with expectations of dual-direction volatility, BTC short-term fluctuations could exceed 2000 points
2. 【Positive Support from US Stocks】: Netflix $25 billion buyback + Blackstone's better-than-expected earnings, US stocks surge, boosting risk sentiment, short-term upward momentum for cryptocurrencies
🚨 Key reminder: Currently, the battle between bulls and bears is intense, geopolitical events

Market trends are highly aligned with the established technical analysis framework. Today's Bitcoin chart perfectly confirms the predictive logic, and the Road to Silk value is fully realized.
Key critical levels review
• First-level strong resistance zone: 79,000
• Core support line: 77,000
Actual market operation verification
Bitcoin surged to 78,534, approaching the first-level strong resistance zone at 79,000, encountering precise resistance and pulling back;
Retraced to 77,410, quickly stabilized after touching the 77,000 core support zone, then began a rebound correction.
The key levels

4.23 Morning BTC Public Thinking
After stabilizing at a low level, it continues to fluctuate strongly; the bulls attempt to rebound but face resistance and pull back. In the short term, it enters a high-level consolidation phase, with the direction closely watching key zones.
Upper resistance: 79,000-80,000
• Failed to break through with volume, maintaining a range-bound pattern;
• Stabilizing within the range, confirming the continuation of the bullish trend, opening up new upward space.
Lower support: 77,000
Once stabilized, it can be opportunistically positioned for long orders, playing the

Today, I made two swing trades on BTC contracts, totaling $37k in profit, with returns of 130%+ and 285%+ respectively.
The charm of short-term swings is precisely catching each small rally accurately, not greedily aiming for more, and taking profits when the time is right.
The market never lacks opportunities; what’s missing is the ability to control the rhythm and the decisiveness to exit.
For beginners, controlling position size and managing risk are more important than chasing high returns; surviving in the market is the top priority.

Early morning trend forecast accurately fulfilled
Before the market opened today, it was clearly analyzed: the market is in a consolidation relay pattern with bullish momentum building, and the core key pressure zone is locked at 76500-77000. Emphasizing that a volume-supported hold in this band means the bullish trend is established, and the bull market’s main upside breakout wave will be fully opened.
The market movement fully matches the forecast, with the logic perfectly implemented:
The price launched an upswing rally from the 76078 area, with expanding volume breaking through the s

The idea is perfectly realized

April 22 Morning Bitcoin Analysis
After the recent low point stabilized, it has been oscillating upward. Due to macro disturbances, the bulls encountered resistance and entered a consolidation phase. Until the direction becomes clear, closely monitor key levels.
Resistance above 76,500-77,000:
• If not broken, expect continued wide-range oscillation;
• Breakout with increased volume confirms a bullish trend and opens upward space.
Support at around 75,000; stabilization here allows for long positions and participation in rebound movements.
In a volatile market, strictly adhere to discipline, t

BTC breaks out strongly, the prediction is perfectly fulfilled!
This morning, it was clearly pointed out that the 75,500-74,500 range is the bulls' lifeline; a rebound and stabilization here is an excellent buying opportunity!
Today’s market perfectly formed a V-shaped reversal, touching as low as 74,654.2 with precise stabilization, then sharply surged, approaching a high of 76,924.5, a nearly 2,500-point single-sided rally!
The bulls are erupting strongly, but the 77,000 integer level faces strong resistance, so quick in-and-out trading is advised; do not chase the high.
If you want

The biggest misconception in trading:
Confusing "endurance" with strength, and "gambling" with faith.
Profits gained by stubbornly enduring are essentially luck;
Luck cannot be replicated, and losses are the norm.
My core trading rule:
Don't hold onto losing positions, don't rely on luck, dare to cut losses, dare to admit mistakes.
Only pursue high risk-reward opportunities, using manageable small losses to capture the certainty of big market moves.
Don't chase single-shot explosive profits, only seek long-term certainty.
Consistent account profitability is the best realization of understandin

$BTC Today, Bitcoin opened lower and then rebounded after hitting the bottom, showing a recovery rally. The bearish momentum is rapidly weakening, and the bulls and bears are entering a rebalancing phase. There are no signs of a trend reversal yet, so do not rush to heavily buy the dip!
Focus on the resistance at 76,000 (the middle band of the Bollinger Bands). If the rebound cannot hold above this level, the weak oscillation pattern will be hard to change. The continuation of the bullish trend is questionable, so avoid blindly chasing highs;
The key support levels are 75,500-74,500. If the

Fifth round of position rebuilding progress 📈
Starting from 3,000 U, position rebuilding plan of 50,000 U | New student (Sky Snowflake)
Accurately grasping the bullish upward trend of Bitcoin
Capturing a 800-point swing, steadily pocketing 8K profit
The current account has reached 34k U
Visible impressive results, invisible accumulation of market feel and precise risk control
The direction is correct, doubling is only a matter of time ✨.
Expected to complete the position rebuilding plan tonight