HaoYue61

March 8, 2026, Sunday, Lunar Calendar: January 20, Good morning!
1. National Development and Reform Commission: Fully implement the maternity leave system, promote a 6 percentage point increase in the enrollment rate of infants under 3 years old, focus on developing emerging pillar industries such as integrated circuits, biomedicine, aerospace, etc., and reduce the negative list for foreign investment access.
2. Ministry of Human Resources and Social Security: This year, focus on organizing specialized training around low-altitude economy, new energy vehicles, artificial intelligence technolog

1. Macroeconomic Negative Factors Compound
- On March 6, cryptocurrencies collectively declined, BTC fell below $69,000, SOL also dropped sharply, and the market entered risk asset deleveraging;
- The Federal Reserve's March 17-18 meeting is highly likely to keep interest rates high, with only a 50% chance of rate cuts in June, and high interest rates suppress crypto valuations;
- The US-Iran conflict pushed oil prices higher, inflation rebounded, making it harder for the Fed to cut rates, and capital withdrew from crypto amid stagflation concerns.
2. Technical Support Under Pressure
- Key sup

Bullish (Bullish) Logic
- Futures Inversion Extremes: VIX futures inversion has entered an extreme zone, which historically often indicates a market bottom and may signal a rebound.
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- Historical Reversal Patterns: After reaching the 5th highest level in history, the past four similar extreme points saw declines of -6.2% to -17.9%, leaving room for a rebound.
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- Technical Signals: VIX once again rejected a key resistance level, providing traders with a low-entry buying point.

Bearish (Short) Logic

- Cross-Asset Volatility Rising: VIX, US Treasury volatility index, and crypto volatility i

1. Market Overview: BTC remains steady above 70,000, ETH continues to rebound, DOGE controlled by whales for consolidation
- BTC: Fluctuating above the 70,000 level, with a 24-hour increase of about 1.73%, moderate trading volume, market sentiment cautious but overall bullish.
- ETH: Holding above $2,000, with a 24-hour increase of about 2.29%, short positions remain high, the short squeeze structure has not been broken.
- DOGE: Trading sideways in the 0.095–0.097 range, up approximately 3.46%, volume far below the moving average, a typical "low-volume rebound," with obvious whale control inte