Tomato

What is a crash? What is the end of a bull market? Bitcoin drops 30% in one day, altcoins drop 60% in one day—that's when the bull market ends; otherwise, it's just a drizzle! It's all just a correction in the bull market #BTC

The current family gathering vibe is roughly like this:
Grandma: Gold prices broke through 5500, the gold bars stored away years ago have multiplied several times, Grandma is ecstatic.
Mom: Silver broke the 130 threshold, the silver coins and jewelry accumulated in earlier years have become hot commodities, Mom also won.
Dad: US stocks/A-shares are rebounding, NVDA soared with a billion-dollar H200 big order, Dad who invests in stocks has won again.
Younger brother: Spending every day tinkering with AI computers, just in time for the AI computing power explosion, younger brother also won.
Only

The rate cut betting game is in full swing, and Powell suddenly confronts Washington head-on! With top Wall Street legal teams fighting back against political pressure, the move to preemptively position itself months in advance has brought the Federal Reserve's independence to the forefront, explicitly rejecting "political easing."
Three major signals are clearly released: policy anchored to economic data, prolonged high interest rates + slow rate cuts as the main tone, and CPI as the market's core anchor.
The crypto market is mixed with both optimism and concern: in the long term, strengtheni

Breaking World Financial Observation: Political Storm Sweeps Through the Financial Circle! Powell Under Criminal Investigation, Will the Crypto Market Face a Liquidity Shift?
The news of Federal Reserve Chair Powell being under criminal investigation has exploded across global financial markets! On the surface, it’s about disputes over testimony during the Fed’s headquarters renovation project, but in reality, it’s the ultimate showdown between the Trump administration’s pressure on the Fed to cut rates — with prosecutors, long allies of Trump, approving the investigation — and Powell’s straig

【Federal Reserve Chair Threatened with Criminal Charges, Cryptocurrency Rises】Bitcoin up 1.40%, other mainstream cryptocurrencies collectively gained on Sunday evening U.S. Eastern Time. Previously, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell issued a warning about the political pressures facing the central bank, and traders are weighing the relevant macroeconomic positive factors. Presto Research Director Peter Chung pointed out that Bitcoin's rise "coincided precisely with the release of Powell's video," while gold prices also surged significantly. As of press time, spot gold prices increased by 1.3

【January 9 News Event Highlights Overview】
Tonight (Friday) at 21:30, the U.S. Department of Labor will release the December 2025 non-farm employment report. The market generally expects that the U.S. labor market continues to create jobs, but the growth rate has slowed compared to November, and the unemployment rate may slightly decline. This data is seen as the first "return to normal" employment report after the government shutdown.
However, due to the ongoing effects of the longest shutdown in history, employment data in the coming months may still be distorted. Additionally, long-term cha

BlackRock's spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) experienced its largest single-day inflow in nearly three months last Friday (January 2), as investors flocked back into crypto-related funds after a period of turbulence.
According to Farside Investors, last Friday, BlackRock's iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) recorded $287.4 million in inflows, the largest single-day inflow since October 8, 2024.
On that day, a total of $471.3 million flowed into U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs, including IBIT, marking the highest single-day inflow since mid-November, offsetting previous outflows and bringing the net in

BTC Daily Chart
Bitcoin's daily chart has already formed five consecutive bullish days. Currently, the top and bottom have successfully switched roles, with the previous resistance level at 91,400 now turning into support. This wave of upward movement is also unconventional; I initially thought there would be a bottoming out before a rise, but it surged directly. However, it's not a big problem.
Currently, Bitcoin has support at 97,500. During this rebound to around 97,500, it's still advisable to go short. For short-term trading, you can operate by buying low near the bottom support.
Intraday

Intraday BTC stopped its rebound at the low point around 89,866. After rising to the high point near 91,779 in the afternoon, the market began to retreat. Ethereum's trend is similar; from the low point around 3,096, it rebounded from the high of 3,165 and is currently in a phase of technical correction.
From the current market situation, the 4-hour chart shows a six consecutive bullish candles oscillating upward. After breaking through the upper boundary of the upward channel, it experienced a slight pullback. The selling pressure has gradually increased, indicating a stronger market dominate

The "Underlying Logic" of Bitcoin: Why Must You Hold BTC During a Rate Cut Cycle?
With the Federal Reserve's expectation of a rate cut in March, Bitcoin's "core holding" properties are becoming increasingly evident. First, Bitcoin is the "liquidity indicator" of the crypto market; when dollar liquidity is abundant, funds tend to flow into Bitcoin first, driving the entire market to recover. Second, the proportion of institutional holdings in Bitcoin continues to rise, making it an important tool for institutions to hedge against dollar depreciation. After a rate cut, institutional demand for a

The success of a trade doesn't rely on how sophisticated your strategy is, but on your ability to execute day after day. Your trading framework is your belief system.
It is the only lifeline you have amidst the turbulent waves of the market.
Don't always doubt whether the system is perfect; the real shortcoming is always hesitation, greed, and fear during execution.
The secret to profit is to repeat simple and correct actions a thousand times. When the signal appears, enter decisively; when it’s time to stop loss, exit firmly.
Follow the plan like a robot.
Behind the dull persistence

According to the latest data from CME "Federal Reserve Watch":
The market believes there is only a 14.9% chance that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in January; meanwhile, the probability of holding rates steady is as high as 85.1%.
In plain language: stop dreaming, a rate cut in January is basically impossible. The market's main expectation, like your wallet, is frozen solid.
What does this mean for the crypto world?
1. Short-term liquidity expectations are dashed: At the beginning of the year, some hoped for a "good start" and expected the central bank to loose

New Year's Day is here! May the market be favorable, and your accounts shine.
In the new year, may your strategies stay steady, risk management remain intact;
stand firm amid intense volatility, and grow wealthy over long cycles.
But today, I want to say something that might not be very popular:
The current market is entering the most dangerous, yet also the easiest stage to get rich.
Have you noticed?
The market is very quiet,
sentiment is very cold,
fewer people are speaking in discussion forums.
The trading volume of Bitcoin has shrunk to historically low levels.
Sideways