Gulfstream

Go down and pick up more, 🔁 eat

I've been quite busy these past few days. I will resume live streaming tomorrow or the day after. Short-term trading is still very enjoyable.

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Winning streak, stable and not greedy

When the moon is full, it wanes; when water is full, it overflows. Seek victory through stability.

Afternoon live broadcast, extreme entry to take profit, next step is bottom rebound to go long

Non-farm payrolls have already exploded; tonight's CPI is it a knockout or a stop-loss?
Tonight's CPI has only three possible outcomes, and the crypto world’s fate is sealed:
1. Core month-over-month 0.35%~0.40% (most likely)
👉 Crypto: Gradual decline, frustrating, $64,000 support can't hold
Non-farm payrolls have already hammered the March rate cut, and if CPI shows "sticky inflation"—don’t expect June either. BTC is like being disconnected from oxygen—neither dead nor alive, the worst feeling.
2. Core month-over-month >0.45% (less likely, very black swan)
👉 Crypto: Immediate breakdown, see

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Tonight's real "decisive factor" in the non-farm payroll report: not the monthly data, but the annual benchmark revision.
Market consensus has shifted from "Will there be a rate cut" to whether employment data has been systematically exaggerated over the long term — this is the real time bomb for tonight.
Key Data Expectations (Must Read)
• New Jobs: Market consensus +70,000 (Goldman Sachs extreme view +45,000)
• Unemployment Rate: Expected 4.4%
• Annual Benchmark Revision: Possibly downward by 911,000 (record)
Gold: Follow the "Rate Cut Expectation"
✅ Meets expectations (+65,000 to +75,000)
R

Trump has nominated Kevin Woor to become the next Chair in May.
1. What does the new boss want to do?
The newly nominated Woor is an "hawk," fundamentally wanting to raise interest rates and tighten liquidity (shrink the balance sheet) to make money more valuable.
But reality is quite different: the US government is heavily in debt and needs the Fed to help "inject blood" to stabilize; the banking system also relies on loose policies. So, he is likely to be "hawkish in heart, dovish in action," wanting to tighten but not too much.
2. Will it cause a financial crisis?
The likelihood of

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Do not be too greedy.

This major decline is not a single black swan but a chain reaction: the old-school consensus has collapsed (institutions leading the run, ETF funds continuously flowing out), macro factors have turned hostile (hawkish Federal Reserve expectations scaring all risk assets), leading to a series of liquidations. Is it a collapse of faith? Yes, but what’s collapsing are the illusions of “only rising and never falling” and “getting rich instantly.”
Bitcoin holding at 60,000 is unsustainable, Ethereum might go to 1300?
What to do? Don’t rely on faith to withstand volatility. Use spare funds, reduce l

Brothers, last night’s liquidation slaughterhouse, don’t be sad, everyone is the same.
To summarize why the crash was so severe, first, the Federal Reserve changed its stance. The yellow-haired nominee, a recognized hawkish heavyweight, was appointed as a candidate. After taking office, this person might pretend to cut rates to soothe the market, while actually withdrawing a large amount of dollars from the market (balance sheet reduction). With less money, assets that rely on liquidity, such as gold and Bitcoin, naturally took the first hit.
All the money in the world is in “safe haven.” It’s