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As of the end of December, the number of Americans filing for unemployment benefits for the first time dropped to 199,000, but the overall employment environment remains weak. The divergence between rising unemployment rates and declining initial claims reflects that companies are observing and waiting, not rushing to lay off or hire, and the labor market outlook remains uncertain. The Federal Reserve faces a dilemma regarding interest rate policies, and future data will influence its decisions.

The Federal Reserve's December 2024 interest rate decision has a profound impact on the crypto market, with liquidity expectations influencing asset pricing. The opposition between dovish and hawkish factions during the meeting reflects different liquidity perspectives, leading to market volatility. Even if interest rates are cut, Bitcoin still faces pricing challenges, and the direction of liquidity will determine the future market trend. Understanding the rhythm of liquidity is more important than predicting a single event, as it will affect the performance of crypto assets.

According to data, over 70% of users on the Polymarket platform incur losses, with only 30% of users making profits, and top traders controlling 90% of the profits, indicating a severe polarization in market profitability. Most retail traders make only modest gains, while losing users show a clear differentiation.

Recently, mainstream cryptocurrencies in the market have shown divergence, with Bitcoin and Ethereum both in critical consolidation phases. Bitcoin is recommended to short at the high level of 91,000, with a short-term focus on breakout directions; Ethereum has failed to break through the 3145 resistance, and market sentiment remains cautious. Investors should pay attention to opportunities for breaking key resistance levels while maintaining trading discipline.

Many cryptocurrency users are confused about black USDT and worry that receiving problematic funds could affect their accounts. The so-called black USDT refers to funds from addresses marked as involved in cases, not that the tokens themselves are problematic. Users should regularly check the blacklist, choose trusted OTC traders, and use legitimate exchanges to effectively reduce the risk of receiving black USDT and protect their assets.

This article introduces the basic concepts of "bullish" and "bearish" in the cryptocurrency market, explaining their respective operations and risks. Being bullish indicates an expectation of rising prices and can profit from price differences through long positions; being bearish anticipates falling prices and requires short selling via futures or leverage trading. Bull and bear are collections of market participants that influence market trends. Beginners should avoid confusing these concepts, guard against short selling risks, and flexibly adjust their viewpoints to better understand market dynamics.

This article provides an in-depth analysis of leverage trading methods in full position mode and isolated margin mode. Full position mode shares funds and has strong risk resistance, making it suitable for experienced traders to perform hedging trades; while isolated margin mode manages risk independently and clearly, suitable for beginners and traders who want to control risk. The choice should be based on individual trading style and risk tolerance.

The article discusses the psychological dilemmas faced by investors in trading, especially how to balance greed and fear. Quoting Warren Buffett's famous saying "Be fearful when others are greedy," the article points out that investors often cannot make rational decisions due to emotional influences. It mentions four typical dilemmas and emphasizes the importance of establishing a trading system to overcome emotional dependence. Finally, it highlights the significance of respecting the market and advocates using market sentiment indicators to assist judgment, thereby enhancing trading wisdom.

The bull and bear markets in the cryptocurrency industry alternate approximately every 4 years. Historical data shows that bull markets last about 6 months to 1 year, while bear markets can last 1 to 2 years. The halving event is a significant factor influencing market volatility and often triggers substantial price increases. Investors should approach market sentiment rationally, stay sensitive to cyclical patterns, and develop effective investment strategies.

Top divergence and bottom divergence are important reversal signals in technical analysis. Top divergence indicates weakening upward momentum, while bottom divergence shows slowing downward momentum. When applying these signals, it is important to observe indicator selection and signal strength, and to avoid over-reliance. Proper risk management is crucial; traders should combine multiple tools, maintain discipline, and stay aware of risks.

The Bearish Bat is one of the four major patterns in harmonic trading, offering the best risk-reward ratio. Its structure consists of four legs, and once formed, it can be used to identify high-probability shorting opportunities. Effective trading should focus on points B and D, with stop-losses set above point X, and a multi-target exit strategy should be developed. This pattern provides deep retracement characteristics, allowing traders to precisely control risk, making it an optimal model for efficient trading.

Many traders rely on indicators and live streams for guidance but fail to truly master the path to profitability. This article introduces the basic principles of naked K trading, including marking support and resistance, identifying market trends, and interpreting market psychology. By observing price fluctuations and candlestick patterns, traders can enter the market more effectively. In practical trading, understanding price structures and changes in market psychology is crucial. Naked K trading helps traders directly read the market's price language, but sustained profitability requires experience and a deep understanding of the market.

Bitcoin's recent volatility has surged, attracting market attention, especially on the eve of $28 billion options expiration. Analysts believe that the sharp price fluctuations are mainly due to short covering and the involvement of genuine buying interest. There are differing opinions on the future trend, and it is important to watch for a breakout above the key level of $94,000 and the support line at $80,000. January will be a critical month for determining Bitcoin's trend, and market participants should stay alert and establish clear trading signals.

The anonymity of stablecoins on the blockchain has been exploited by black and gray industries for money laundering, with USDT becoming the preferred tool. A recent black U scam revealed a "pig-butchering" scheme, where victims were defrauded of large sums after small transactions. Tracking results show that the gang illegally obtained over 870,000 USDT, and many users did not receive their refunds. Participating in black U may violate criminal law; investors should be cautious of high-return traps to avoid falling into legal trouble.

Under the adjustment of global interest rate policies, Bitcoin is facing an opportunity for price increase. Technical analysis shows that if it can break through the $90,000 resistance, it may challenge $95,000 to $100,000. At the same time, multiple macro signals support Bitcoin's upward movement. However, short-term volatility risks still need to be watched, and investors should set stop-loss levels.