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$APE First, the conclusion: the current market pattern is a typical "violent surge → distribution at high levels → pullback and oscillation," short-term is biased bearish, medium-term depends on whether key support holds, long-term remains within a major downward trend.
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1. Structural level judgment (first set the overall direction)
1️⃣ Daily chart level
* Long-term trend: continuous downward trend (from 0.6 down to 0.08)
* Recently: a single large volume surge → spike up to around 0.19
* Essence:
👉 This is an oversold rebound + capital pushing to test selling pressure
External data also