LikeWindETH

Some views on the future market
From last night's 25 basis point rate cut to the speech switching from hawkish to dovish, it's still the familiar Tai Chi
The market's original expectation was: “Rate cut begins -> Continued aggressive easing until 2026 -> Asset prices soar” The reality is: today they give you a piece of candy, and no crying allowed afterward. The expectation for 2026 is now only a 25 basis point cut or even no rate cut at all, with the precautionary rate cut ending and no further guidance provided. Maintaining relatively high interest rates in the future essentially signals a “

Currently, the USDT price is 6.9. You can buy in large quantities at 6.5. $ETH
In a bear market, USDT price will be cheaper. For Ethereum, you can allocate your positions as follows: 40% at 800, 30% at 1300, 20% at 1800, and 10% at 2100.
If you have 100,000 USDT,
your average price would be 800×0.4+1300×0.3+1800×0.2+2100×0.1=1280 average price.
When the bull market arrives, you'll get a great result.
Of course, if you have extra USDT, you can gradually invest some into altcoins.
It is recommended to allocate only 20% of your total position to altcoins.

Since December, there has been a direct and aggressive washout, with a double bottom as I expected. Currently, after three days of rally, the price has reached the resistance level near 3245. This is a very critical level—if it breaks through, we could see 3645; if it doesn't, a third bottom could form a central zone. For now, I am bearish. Even if you make a mistake buying, you need to buy; don't assume it's a bull market just because prices are rising now. We're still in a bear market with poor liquidity and lower USDT prices. In a bear market, use cash to exchange for USDT and buy spot.
Now

Today is suitable for short-term trading without focusing on the layout; just grab a few dozen points.

What can be confirmed now is that 3660 can go short, 3370 can try to go long, and we should avoid the market in between, waiting to enter a position at the key levels.

1: No matter how good the certainty or how high the opportunity, it is not worth firing all the bullets, or even most of the bullets.
2: Believe in the crisis and feel the changes; when those who do not believe in the crisis narrow the path, then take action to pick up cheap shares.
3: Constantly repeating your symbols of luck and victory: The heavens will not allow a person to be completely and utterly lucky all the time. The assets you have made money from are likely to make you money again next time, while the assets you have lost money on are likely to make you feel even worse next time.
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