FourHundredAndEighty

Age 1.1 Yıl

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2h ago

Let's talk about the big cycle logic of Bitcoin today, connecting several key factors.
First, let's discuss the halving.
Historically, the typical bull market cycle usually begins to brew about a year before the halving. After the halving, miners' production costs will significantly increase, and from past cycles, even at the most conservative estimates, the price at the bull market top has generally been at least 1.5 times the mining cost.
Based on current models, the mining cost around the 2028 halving is estimated to reach approximately $120,000.
Next, I want to highlight a policy var

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FourHundredAndEighty

03-10 14:52

🔥 Burn! $BURN The victory of the first phase is just the prologue of the deflation empire! While the entire network is "inflation unlocking," $BURN is destroying in reverse! We do not issue new tokens, do not unlock, only bottomless black hole destruction! The more we trade, the scarcer it becomes. Every burn, every deflation pushes $BURN 's value to new heights! We are the true smart money, always following extreme deflation + real returns. Mechanism:

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FourHundredAndEighty

03-09 16:22

Memes have always been either the moon or dust, and they just go in to hang out and then leave. They get cut down and run away again. No matter how many times they encounter the same ending—loser, certain An alpha.

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FourHundredAndEighty

03-08 17:42

When it rises too much, it naturally pulls back, just like how it rebounds after a significant decline. Let's continue to set sail next week!

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FourHundredAndEighty

03-08 14:48

When it rises too much, it naturally pulls back, just like how it rebounds after falling too much.
Let's continue to set sail next week!

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FourHundredAndEighty

03-07 17:52

Currently, the market's expectations for Bitcoin's rebound height are generally pessimistic, with few believing it can return above 80,000. My judgment is different. In this wave B rebound, the target is 87,000. The following are several logical dimensions supporting this judgment: 1. Buy signals in the divergence between volume and price

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FourHundredAndEighty

03-07 15:09

The market's expectations for Bitcoin's rebound height are generally pessimistic, with few believing it can return above 80,000.
My judgment is different. In this wave B rebound, the target is 87,000.
Here are several logical reasons supporting this view:
1. Buy signals in volume-price divergence
The trading volume during the March 4 rally was significantly higher than any rally between November 21, 2025, and January 13, 2026. Even if it wasn't an effective breakout at the time, this volume level clearly indicates that the buying strength at the current position has already surpassed that of t

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FourHundredAndEighty

03-05 13:32

This US-Iran war has been going on for a while, and Bitcoin surprisingly hasn't dropped below 60,000, while Ethereum is holding tightly around 2000 and fluctuating — that's already quite strong! Last time, when it dropped from 100,000 to 70,000, ETH crashed directly to 1300. What about now? The highest leader of Iran plus a bunch of top officials were assassinated, yet the price quickly rebounded. The war is still ongoing, but the coin price remains steady above 60,000 without further decline. I believe 60,000 is the bottom! Moving upward is just a matter of time.

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FourHundredAndEighty

03-05 10:37

This US-Iran showdown has been going on for a while, and Bitcoin surprisingly hasn't dropped below 60,000. Ethereum is holding firm around 2,000, fluctuating — that's already quite strong!
Last time, it dropped from 100,000 to 70,000, and ETH crashed to 1,300. What about this time? Iran's top leader and many high-ranking officials have been assassinated, yet the price quickly rebounded. The war is still ongoing, but the coin price remains above 60,000 without dropping further.
I believe 60,000 is the solid bottom! Going up is just a matter of time,
Trump is spouting off and launching mis

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FourHundredAndEighty

03-01 16:32

If a modern war breaks out, which type of city is relatively safer? The core logic is actually quite clear: the more ordinary, marginal, and lacking strategic value a city has, the less likely it is to become a priority target for strikes. In modern warfare (whether high-intensity conventional warfare or conflicts mainly involving precision strikes), whether a city will become a missile or air raid target generally depends on its strategic value, which can be roughly assessed based on the following factors:

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FourHundredAndEighty

03-01 16:32

In 2026, one of the three important things is: Make good use of AI. Don't waste time debating which AI is the strongest. Truly capable people have four AIs working for them at the same time. My approach is simple: first ask ChatGPT to get the underlying logic. Then pass it to Gemini to fill in gaps and add examples. Next, give it to Claude to restructure into a system. Finally, have Grok critique it, find loopholes, and remove fluff. One question, four perspectives. Cross-validate and iterate repeatedly.

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FourHundredAndEighty

03-01 13:38

In 2026, one of the three major things is: making good use of AI.
Stop worrying about which AI is the strongest.
Truly skilled people have four AIs working for them at the same time.
My approach is simple:
First, ask ChatGPT to get the underlying logic.
Then, hand it over to Gemini to fill in gaps and add examples.
Next, give it to Claude to restructure into a system.
Finally, have Grok critique it, find loopholes, and remove fluff.
One question, four perspectives.
Cross-validate and iterate repeatedly.
The information density doubles directly.
The biggest bug in the AI e

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FourHundredAndEighty

03-01 13:36

If a modern war breaks out, which types of cities are relatively safer?
The core logic is quite clear: the more ordinary, marginal, and lacking strategic value a city is, the less likely it is to become a priority target.
In modern warfare (whether high-intensity conventional warfare or conflicts mainly involving precision strikes), whether a city becomes a missile or airstrike target usually depends on its strategic value, which can be roughly assessed based on the following factors:
Main factors influencing the likelihood of being targeted (rough priority)
1. Is it a political center?
Capita

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FourHundredAndEighty

02-24 05:22

Don't fight the trend. First, let's talk about Bitcoin. The 4-hour chart is very clear— the previous high zone around 66,500-66,800 repeatedly faces resistance. The bulls couldn't hold above 66,578, which confirms that the resistance is effective. Following that, a large-volume bearish candle directly broke through the short-term moving averages, with the lowest dip to around 63,433. Currently, the price is fluctuating around 64,800, which is essentially a weak correction after a decline. From a structural perspective: • MA7 has already crossed below MA25

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FourHundredAndEighty

02-24 02:28

Don't fight the trend
Let's start with Bitcoin.
The 4-hour chart is very clear——
The previous high zone around 66,500-66,800 repeatedly faces resistance, and the bulls failed to hold above 66,578, which confirms that the pressure is effective.
Then a volume-spike bearish candle directly broke through the short-term moving averages, with a low of around 63,433.
Currently, the price is fluctuating around 64,800, which is essentially a weak correction after a decline.
From a structural perspective:
• MA7 has crossed below MA25
• Price is trading below MA25 and MA99
• The rebound volume is signifi

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FourHundredAndEighty

02-23 19:02

Whether it's a bull market or a bear market, there are no trends that only go up or only go down. The price movements of cryptocurrencies will always be like waves, rising and falling repeatedly. 1. Large capital, low expectations: If you have over 1 million yuan in funds, you can choose to accumulate BTC and ETH until the end of the low bull market in 2026, with a high probability of 3-5 times gains.

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FourHundredAndEighty

02-23 16:01

Whether it's a bull market or a bear market, there are no markets that only go up or only go down. The price movements will always be like waves, rising and falling, repeating in cycles.
1. Large capital, low expectations: If you have over 1 million dollars, you can choose to hold BTC and ETH until the end of the low bull market in 2026, with a high probability of 3-5 times gains.
2. Moderate capital, higher expectations: For example, 100,000 to 1 million dollars, choose tracks and secondary altcoins. It's easy to find coins (ORDI, SOL, ICP, SEI, SUI, PEPE, DOGE, ASTR, BSV, MINA). If you pick

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MasterChuTheOldDemonMasterChu

Happy New Year 🧨

FourHundredAndEighty

02-21 04:02

Happy New Year, brothers. Money is coming soon. Wishing everyone wealth freedom immediately. After the New Year’s busy period, back to work.
More terrifying than the decline of Bitcoin is time.
In 2018, I endured 364 days.
In 2022, I endured 378 days.
In 2026, if you think you can adjust in just a few months, you're dreaming.
Based on historical trends, this means that from now, there are nearly 8 months left, and every day you wake up, your account might be in a downward trend.

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FourHundredAndEighty

02-21 01:13

Happy New Year, brothers. Money is coming soon. Wishing everyone immediate financial freedom. After the New Year rush is over, back to work.
The more terrifying thing than the decline of Bitcoin is time.
In 2018, I endured 364 days.
In 2022, I endured 378 days.
By 2026, if you think you can fix everything in a few months, you're dreaming.
Based on historical trends, that means from now, there are nearly 8 months left, and every day you wake up, your account might be in a downward trend.
This nearly year-long "garbage time" will completely destroy your dopamine system.
You will go

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