SproutingAndSprouting

David Rosenberg, the well-known bear on Wall Street and president of Rosenberg Research, recently stated that as the effects of fiscal stimulus wane and AI-related capital expenditures peak, the US economy could fall into a "very severe recession" in 2027.

The data shows that the scale of physical output in the United States is one seventh of that in China. What does this indicate?

U.S. retail sales unexpectedly stalled in December, with spending slowing down at the tail end of the holiday season.

“It’s all mixed up with polarization,” said Gallup’s Frank Newport in an interview

About one-third of Americans rated politics and government as the top issue facing their nation, behind only Taiwan — which faces the prospect of an invasion from China — and on par with Slovenia, Spain and South Korea.

Pluralities in Germany and France — and a majority of Canadians — say the US is a negative force globally, new POLITICO-Public First polling finds.

US trade deficit widens by the most in nearly 34 years in November

More than ten people, including former Federal Reserve chairmen, former Treasury secretaries, and former chairman of the Economic Advisory Council, issued a joint statement on January 12, stating that the investigation attempted to weaken the independence of the Federal Reserve.

Federal Reserve Chair Powell has received a subpoena. Prosecutors have launched a criminal investigation into Powell, involving the renovation project of the Federal Reserve building and whether he made false statements to Congress regarding the matter previously.

Federal Reserve Chair Powell has received a subpoena. Prosecutors have launched a criminal investigation into Powell, involving the renovation project of the Federal Reserve building and whether he made false statements to Congress regarding the matter previously.

The US is gonna release December's CPI figures. Morgan Stanley's guess is 0.36%, and Bloomberg Economics pegs it at 0.38%—way higher than October-November's average of just 0.08%.

Looks like the U.S. government's running out of cash again—might be facing another shutdown by month's end.

During the trade war initiated by Trump, job growth has ceased.

According to the Labor Department's latest stats, the "labor share" dropped to 53.8% last quarter—down from 54.6% the previous quarter and way below the 55.6% average we've seen since the 2020s.

Poverty surged when the U.S. did not renew pandemic relief efforts such as unemployment and rent assistance. Driven by high living costs, California has a higher share of residents living in poverty than any state except Louisiana.

‘The Poor Are in a Very Bad State’: Climate Change Accelerates California’s Cost-of-Living Crisis
In ways subtle and extreme, the warming climate is hitting those with the least the hardest.

Morgan Stanley figures this ruling ain't gonna give either the Supreme Court or the Trump camp a clear win in the end. The big decision on Trump's tariff case is about to drop from the top court any day now.

In 2026, the Fed is likely to keep its monetary policy easy, but they'll start pulling back on the stimulus bit by bit. Inflation should settle down to where the Fed wants it. Tech stocks might take a hit, while sectors like finance and real estate could see some gains.