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$BTC Recently, many short-term reliefs in the market are related to announcements by G7 countries considering the use of millions of barrels of oil reserves to address oil supply shortages. Additionally, Trump stated that the war could be ending soon and that victory has been achieved. This may be an attempt to lower soaring oil prices, but whether the war is truly ending remains to be seen. The reaction of oil prices has been more impulsive because the ground situation has not changed significantly. Oil fields in the Middle East are still under attack, the Strait of Hormuz remains closed, se

$BTC After the release of the news, the US stock market began to rebound. The Nasdaq, which had fallen 1.6%, has now only fallen 0.2% and has recovered quite a bit. The price of WTI crude oil also dropped from $120 to the current $93. This price is not much different from the closing price on Friday, so the rise in Bitcoin's price is not without reason or investor shift, but rather a reaction to the G7. Of course, if the G7 does not plan to release or delays the release, it will still lead to a decline in market sentiment.
Looking at Bitcoin data, today's trading volume is still not very stro

$BTC Another day dominated by geopolitical conflicts. Today, I noticed many friends are wondering why the conflict has become more intense, with U.S. stocks falling, oil prices rising, and surprisingly, $BTC also going up. Are investors starting to see Bitcoin as a safe haven? Actually, that's not the case. This morning, the market reaction was still not very positive; the Nasdaq and S&P both dropped more than 1.5%, and U.S. oil prices rose to $120. The market sentiment was very poor at that time.
But by noon, there was news that the G7 is preparing to release strategic oil reserves to count

Inflation concerns have existed even before the recent geopolitical tensions, due to various global developments such as the long-standing easing cycle and U.S. tariffs on trade. However, inflation worries have significantly increased due to recent tensions in the Middle East, as oil supplies decrease, which has a major impact on global energy and transportation costs. The longer these tensions persist, the greater their impact on inflation in Europe and the U.S. For example, in the United States, CPI inflation is expected to rise above 3%, which will be a primary focus for the Federal Reserve

$BTC Currently, it remains consistent with expectations because the ongoing war has kept the price of $BTC volatile. The geopolitical conflict between Iran and the US seems unlikely to end soon. Iran's resilience has exceeded many people's expectations, while Trump continues to fluctuate on the "acting" line. Today, he even stated that Iran's next Supreme Leader must be approved by the US, which has further fueled Iran's resistance.
The closure of the Strait of Hormuz has significantly reduced oil transportation, with oil production in southern Iraq dropping from about 4.3 million barrels pe

Since our rejection at the HTF resistance zone of 72K-80K, BTC has fallen over 11% and is nearly approaching the recent low of the bear flag formation. As discussed last week, this is very similar to the situation in January, so at least be aware of the possibility of a similar outcome, which would be a breakdown of this channel. The 65K-64K area remains a key support at the lower end of the range, while at the upper end, the 75K mid-term level continues to be a critical resistance for BTC. If BTC revisits this level, it will be the first test of the 3D21EMA since breaking below 90K.
In othe

$BTC 30,000 USD Dual Currency Investment First Phase--March 8-10, 2026
Place your order before midnight, or else you'll have an extra T+1 delay. The BTC price at the time of order was $67,211. I checked, and the minimum value of this dual currency investment until March 9 is $62,000, which yields less than 10% profit. However, for the one-day difference until March 10 expiration, the $62,000 yield is 27%.
The $63,000 yield is nearly 54%. Normally, choosing $62,000 to earn interest would be safer, but I had planned to buy at $63,000 earlier and couldn't get it. Now, with an $87 interest payout,

$BTC Danger Signals in U.S. Credit!! BlackRock and others are starting to encounter trouble
Recently, there is a signal that I find increasingly worth paying attention to: the risk of private credit in the U.S. is gradually being exposed again.
Previously, I mentioned the expectations of global fund managers regarding a U.S. recession. The market believes that the U.S. is not yet in a recession, although there are fluctuations in the stock market, the overall narrative remains intact, and confidence in the economy not landing is still high. Concerns about a recession have dropped to the lowest

$BTC The best hedge against this war should be going long on oil and gold.
Looking at Bitcoin data, the weekend's decline in trading volume and turnover rate is normal, after all, weekend liquidity is at its lowest. Up to now, the price fluctuations of $BTC reflect investors' sentiment towards the war's trajectory. Trump has started to believe the war could end in the short term, and investors are willing to pay to end it quickly. However, as the war continues and expands, investors still believe it might last longer, leading to BTC only oscillating.
But currently, investor sentiment rema

$BTC After a day of relaxing and resting over the weekend, the market trend and expectations still remain influenced by the war. Today, Iran intensified its counterattack against the US and its allies, with an oil tanker attacked in the Strait of Hormuz. As Iran is not fully prepared for a ceasefire, the Middle East has begun reducing oil production, mainly due to disrupted shipping. This is also a reason for the rising oil prices. Just looking at the oil price trend at Friday's close, you can tell a lot.
It seems that the war will be difficult to end in the short term, and it’s just about c

$BTC Boring Saturday fluctuations. After over 67,450 long positions hit BE, I don't care anymore #加密市场小幅下跌 ‌

It's the weekend. I didn't invest in any of my dual currencies today, just worried that Trump might cause some trouble over the weekend. It's better to keep some cash on hand.
Looking at Bitcoin data, the turnover rate has increased while trading volume has decreased. Investors' purchasing power is clearly insufficient, and selling has started to increase. This was predicted in the past two days. Once the market faces negative news or ongoing war-related information, it’s normal for investors who chased the rally to start selling.
The top-pinned weekly report provides a clear analysis; int

This morning, I heard news that Dubai continues to be under attack. I estimate that this conflict will persist, and sure enough, the latest reports still indicate a stalemate in the war. The newest White House news states that Iran's fate will be similar to Venezuela's, and not wanting to be left out, Trump also mentioned that Cuba will soon collapse. He really doesn't mind facing multiple enemies at once. Just today, Russia also provided Iran with intelligence involving US military ships and aircraft locations, possibly for Iran to use in attacks against US targets.
This is the kind of Putin

New Message
US Unemployment Rate and NFP Data
We have just received the latest US unemployment rate and NFP data, which inform us about the current state of the US labor market. This information remains important for predicting monetary policy for the rest of the year. Remember, the Federal Reserve's recent stance is that the labor market has stabilized, which means that considering the ongoing inflation risks, an immediate rate cut may not be appropriate.
The unemployment rate is 4.4%, higher than expected, indicating a weakening labor market. The NFP figure fell significantly short of expect