# 原油价格回落

Thursday morning on 3.12, BTC/ETH Silk Share
The current market indicates a clear signal of weak oscillation. After falling from the previous high of 71,777, the rebound highs are gradually decreasing, clearly under pressure from the MA7 and the upper band of the Bollinger Bands. The moving average system is leveling off, indicating that the short-term bullish momentum is waning, and the focus is shifting downward.
On the macro level, the ongoing conflict between the US and Iran continues to disrupt the market. Geopolitical risks are intensifying, boosting market risk aversion and leading to i

The current cryptocurrency market remains in a high-level oscillation pattern, with Bitcoin continuously tugging around the 70,000 level. After multiple attempts to push higher, it quickly retreated, indicating that both selling pressure and buying support exist in this area. On-chain data shows that recently, some short-term funds have been taking profits around the 70,000 mark, while long-term holding addresses have not shown significant signs of reducing their positions. Meanwhile, Ethereum has been repeatedly testing around the 2000 level, with bulls continuously supporting the 1980–2000 r

Tonight's CPI: It's not just about the data, but oil prices
Tonight's US February CPI is expected to be 2.4% year-over-year, but this data does not account for the sharp rise in oil prices in March, which is essentially an "outdated signal."
Goldman Sachs estimates that a $10 increase in oil prices leads to approximately 0.28% inflation rise; the Middle East conflict has pushed oil prices above $100, and in the coming months, US inflation may return above 3%, directly suppressing rate cut expectations.
Transmission logic:
Oil price surge → Inflation expectations rebound → Rate hike delay → US

0311 Bitcoin Daily Report#原油价格回落
The start of this week has been relatively positive. After two consecutive days of rebound, short-term price movement has entered a consolidation phase. Currently, trading is around $70,000. Prior to this, due to rising tensions in the energy markets, Bitcoin briefly dropped to the $65,000 range. Now, it has regained the $70,000 level, reflecting a renewed buying interest in the short term.
Data shows that recent days have seen a significant increase in the selling of put options, indicating that traders are willing to take on downside risk in exchange for pre

March 12 Gold Morning Review
Ahead of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, the latest February CPI data was released, intensifying the bullish and bearish battles in gold. After the data release, gold prices surged then pulled back, ending with a long lower shadow candlestick, confirming the validity of the 5150 support level.
Currently, spot gold is trading around 5175. If the short-term moving averages stabilize, the medium-term bullish trend remains intact. The intraday pullback is a normal digestion after the data release. The Middle East geopolitical tensions and expectations of

The market is not lacking opportunities; what’s missing is clear awareness. Don’t chase highs or bottom fish, go with the trend, and earning money that you understand is the most reliable. Keep an eye on 2080, which still has about 45 points of room.

$ETH I believe the current market is mainly consolidating, with rebounds not indicating a bull run, and a quick recovery is unlikely. Neither bulls nor bears are wrong. If you must trade futures, focus on short-term trades.
When ETH surges 8%-10% in a day, go short; similarly, switch to long positions, control your position size, and you will almost never lose.
Currently, market liquidity is tightening, and the US stock market is also in a high-level consolidation phase. Plus, after 1011, confidence in the crypto circle has almost collapsed. Crypto remains a risk asset, with external risk