Gate News reports that on March 9, according to Polymarket data, two high-probability addresses wagered $73,800 on the prediction that “the U.S. military will enter Iran in March.” The opening prices ranged from 32c to 41c, with a current probability of 43%. Several diplomats have revealed that the U.S. government is discussing a limited special operations option, which involves deploying a small number of special forces into Iran to seize or destroy near-weapons-grade uranium stockpiles. Iran’s foreign minister stated in an interview that Iran is prepared for a possible “U.S. ground invasion” and has refused to negotiate a ceasefire during the conflict. Iran believes that the airstrikes by the U.S. and Israel may be a prelude to a larger-scale military operation, and is therefore strengthening domestic defenses and mobilization.
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