Prediction Market

According to market reports, the U.S. Department of Justice has charged a Google engineer with insider trading on Polymarket, alleging he used confidential information to generate $1.2 million in profits.

According to BlockBeats, on May 31, the probability prediction on Polymarket for Bitcoin reaching $100,000 by year-end fell to 33%, compared to 49% on May 10. The odds for BTC reaching $90,000 within the year stood at 56%, while the probability of a decline to $50,000 was at 42%.

According to Josh, DeFi Engineering VP at Polymarket, the platform's perpetual futures testing is now live. Users interested in joining the testing must provide feedback on UI improvements and pain points. Polymarket has paused adding new testers but may reopen limited slots for participation in the

According to Bitcoin.com and the U.S. Department of Justice, Google software engineer Michele Spagnuolo was charged on May 31 with commodity fraud, wire fraud, and money laundering for allegedly using confidential Google data to profit over $1.2 million through a Polymarket account named

According to Odaily Seer, predict.fun's odds for the Spurs winning the 2026 NBA championship rose to 65% today (May 31), up 38% in 24 hours. The surge followed the Spurs' 4-3 victory over the Thunder in the Western Conference Finals Game 7, sending them to the NBA Finals. The event contract has

A Google engineer is facing federal charges after prosecutors said he used confidential search data to make more than $1.2 million on Polymarket. The case puts new scrutiny on prediction-market rules and insider trading tied to private company information. Key Takeaways: Authorities accused a

According to Odaily Seer's Seer channel, a smart money address (0x84cfffc3f16dcc353094de30d4a45226eccd2f63) purchased $956,000 in predictions for the Spurs to defeat the Thunder in NBA Playoffs Western Conference Finals Game 7 on Polymarket earlier today. The position was opened at an average

According to Odaily Seer, a smart money address (0xbddf61af533ff524d27154e589d2d7a81510c684) with over $4.5 million in Polymarket profits purchased a $300,000 position on Thunder to win Game 7 of the NBA Western Finals

According to PANews and on-chain analyst Yiji, whale 'lovelystuff' earned $1.15 million in profit after placing a $10.44 million bet on the Euro Cup final on Polymarket on May 31. Paris Saint-Germain defeated Arsenal on penalties in the final, though the match ended 1–1 after regular time. Since Pol

According to Foresight News, citing Ember monitoring, whale 'lovelystuff' bet $4.02 million on Arsenal to win the Champions League final overnight on Polymarket. If the bet is correct, the address will earn $3.62 million in

According to Polymarket, on May 31 the UEFA Champions League final between Arsenal and Paris Saint-Germain generated over $35 million in trading volume. The platform shows a 62% probability of a draw within 90 minutes, while PSG and Arsenal are priced at 21% and 17% winning probabilities

According to a16z crypto research partner Scott Duke Kominers, prediction markets allow participants to trade on event outcomes and aggregate dispersed information through price signals, providing real-time probability estimates. Unlike traditional polls, prediction markets offer continuous

According to the U.S. Department of Treasury and the Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) on May 30, Americans are prohibited from reaching any "safe passage" agreements with Iran's government or Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, even without payment. Iran's newly established Persian Gulf

According to on-chain analyst Ai Yi, a Polymarket account TrevorPlovdivBulgariaForHisBirthday incurred cumulative losses of $157,500 after predicting a BLG victory in tonight's League of Legends match against WE. BLG had a 95.5% win probability pre-match but lost 1-3 in the final

According to on-chain data, a Polymarket whale with handle "lovelystuff" wagered $4.02 million on Arsenal to win tonight's UEFA Champions League final. If the prediction is correct, the trader stands to gain approximately $3.62 million from this single

According to Odaily Seer, a profitable trader with over $840,000 in prior gains purchased $1.549 million in bets on Arsenal defeating Paris Saint-Germain on Polymarket 1 hour ago, opening at an average price of 44 cents. The UEFA Champions League final between the two teams is scheduled for

According to Kalshi, the company recently unveiled the Kalshi American Power Index (KPOW) to track power shifts between Democrats and Republicans. The index ranges from +50D (complete Democratic control) to +50R (complete Republican control), combining forward-looking market signals with current con

According to Odaily Star Daily, Polymarket announced platform updates this week, including launching a dedicated World Cup page with feature testing and rolling out perpetual futures contracts covering five traditional finance trading pairs and Bitcoin. The platform also plans to release a new

According to PANews, Multicoin Capital's former co-founder Kyle Samani outlined three possible scenarios for Kalshi and the U.S. crypto perpetuals market on May 30. The first scenario assumes existing unregulated perpetuals channels in the U.S. will mature, limiting Kalshi's impact. The second