MICA Daily|Tom Lee 預測一月 BTC 新高、 ETH 漲破 7,000,現在又如何呢?

BTC-0.79%
ETH-1.3%

ETH 大多頭 Tom Lee 去年 11 月接受媒體訪問預測表示,BTC 會在 2026 年一月再創新高,而他存倉最多的 ETH 將在一月漲破 7,000 – 9,000 美元。但剛剛一月結束,結果 BTC 在一月最後一天,跌破重要的 8 萬美元關口,甚至曾一度跌破 7.5 萬,而 ETH 表現更差,不單失守 3,000 美元,甚至跌破了 2,300 美元。市場慘淡,他也沒有再作預測,而他剩下的預測,就只剩下 2026 年底 BTC 最起碼達到 20 萬、 ETH 則漲至 1.2 萬美元這兩項。 Tom Lee 的依據是從過去加密貨幣市場週期而推論出來,確實依照過去比特幣四年週期,今年初加密貨幣該迎來新一波漲勢,但去年已經很多分析師都表示,比特幣的「四年週期論」可能已經失效,從結果來看,目前幾乎可以肯定,加密貨幣在短期內很難再出現像樣的升勢,其中包括 Tom Lee 預計代幣化經濟落地而出現的 ETH 超級週期,隨著美國 CLARITY 法案遇阻力,看似也遙遙無期。

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