全球金融市場同步走弱之際,加密貨幣市場再次成為重災區,比特幣繼夜盤遭遇重挫之後,今(30)晨又見賣壓出籠、進一步跌破 8.2 萬美元。分析師警告,隨著關鍵支撐位接連失守,比特幣「下方幾乎沒有明確支撐」,短期內恐跌向 7 萬美元。
截至台北時間上午 10 點 25 分,比特幣報 81,401 美元,單日跌幅達 8%;以太幣下跌 9.5% 至 2,707 美元;BNB 、瑞波幣(XRP)、 Solana(SOL)跌幅介於 7% 至 8.6% 。
根據 CoinGlass 數據顯示,過去 24 小時內,全網爆倉金額達 17.79 億美元,其中超過 16.7 億美元來自多頭部位,比特幣爆倉金額達 8.33 億美元,以太幣則為 4.31 億美元,其他競爭幣也遭遇廣泛的強制平倉潮。
這波殺盤造成約 283,515 名交易員被爆倉。最慘重的一筆災情發生在 HTX,一名交易員的比特幣部位瞬間蒸發 8,057 萬美元,成為最大苦主。
21Shares 加密貨幣研究策略師 Matt Mena 指出,比特幣跌破 8.4 萬美元關鍵防線後,空方下個目標將是去年 11 月買盤進駐的起漲點 8 萬美元,若再跌破,恐將回測去年 4 月「關稅恐慌」期間的低點 7.5 萬美元。
不過,Matt Mena 仍對比特幣中期走勢抱有信心,認為目前價格具備「極具吸引力的進場點」,並預期在總體經濟環境向好的情況下,比特幣有機會在第一季結束前重返 10 萬美元,甚至可能創下 12.8 萬美元的歷史新高價。
然而,其他分析師則沒那麼樂觀,警告未來可能會出現更大幅度的回調。
加密貨幣借貸平台 Ledn 投資長 John Glover 分析,這波殺盤是自去年 10 月創新高以來大波段修正的一環,最終不排除跌至 7.1 萬美元,相當於自歷史高點 12.6 萬美元回檔約 43% 。
John Glover 指出,美國是當前市場不確定性的震央,資金選擇湧入黃金與瑞士法郎等另類避險資產,而非傳統的美元、美債。儘管投資人一度期待比特幣能扮演「數位黃金」角色,但現階段仍被視為風險資產,與股市同步遭到拋售。但他強調:「我相信這只是暫時的,未來幾季比特幣價格將會反彈。」
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