#比特币突破7.9万美元 Considering the current geopolitical risks (Middle East situation) and macro environment (interest rate cut expectations postponed until after September), it is more difficult for Bitcoin to break above $79,477 and stabilize today. The intraday high is likely in the $79k-$79,500 range. Breaking $80k requires stronger capital inflows.

My strategy: reducing positions for hedging is better than continuing to go long.
Current market signals lean towards caution:
1. Technical divergence: Daily MACD shows bearish divergence, price hits new highs but momentum indicators weaken; 4-hour MACD shows a death cross; RSI bearish divergence signals appear.
2. Funding rate: BTC and ETH funding rates remain negative, reflecting bearish market sentiment, with shorts still paying longs.
3. Whale movements: Several on-chain long whales are reducing or closing positions near $79,000, indicating profit-taking willingness at high levels.
4. Macro suppression: Prolonged high-interest rate environment + geopolitical uncertainties, the market is in a "liquidity contraction" phase.
Reduce positions in batches within the $78,500-$79,000 range, lock in some profits, retain the core position, and use no more than 5% of funds to buy out-of-the-money put options as hedging.