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NonceNinja

· 04-21 21:02

My intuition is that when geopolitical conflicts intensify, oil and gold may rise together; but once a recession trade begins, the likelihood of weak oil and strong gold increases.

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SandwichMev

· 04-21 11:17

Gold and crude oil sometimes move in the same direction, sometimes in opposite directions, mostly driven by macro factors, not fixed hedging.

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MountainShadowsBeforeTheStorm

· 04-20 16:08

Today has been quite volatile; let's first look at the US dollar index and US Treasury yields.

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BitByBitBenny

· 04-20 12:37

Short-term, it’s more like everyone going their own way; don’t expect a one-click mutual offset.

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ColdStartUnderTheAurora

· 04-20 08:00

During the same time period, the correlation may be close to zero; using it for hedging is not as good as setting proper stop-losses.

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TidalShellReflection

· 04-20 07:57

I'm monitoring the market here: when DXY surges, gold struggles; crude oil still depends on inventory and news, the correlation isn't that strong.

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GateUser-fb035825

· 04-20 07:55

Today, gold prices mainly depend on Federal Reserve expectations, while oil is more influenced by supply and demand + OPEC news.

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ReefUnderTheMoonlight

· 04-20 07:53

Hedging should consider the correlation coefficient window period; do not apply long-term conclusions to the current situation.

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GovernanceGremlin

· 04-20 07:53

You can monitor the WTI-Gold ratio, and discuss hedging strategies when the deviation is too large.

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MarginMarmot

· 04-20 07:50

Are you trying to hedge against inflation or volatility? Different goals require completely different strategies.

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