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why most crypto traders never make it past year two
the dropout rate in crypto trading isn't because markets are hard. it's because people treat volatility like an opportunity before they treat it like a test.
year one feels like genius. you catch a bull run, double a bag, tell yourself you figured it out. year two is where the real education starts, a bear wipes 60% of the portfolio, leverage liquidates a position you were "confident" in and a narrative you believed collapses overnight.
the traders still standing after year three share one trait: they stopped trying to win every trade and started trying to survive every market. sam bankman fried built an empire on asymmetric bets with no downside protection. it worked until it didn't. the house of cards stood until the first real stress test.
survival is the strategy. compounding only works if you're still in the game.
Viktor.
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