"28 Submarines Sunk" is a propaganda post released by Trump on the day US-Iran negotiations began (April 11), aiming to exert maximum pressure, not an immediate battlefield report. Currently, the Strait of Hormuz remains in a "semi-blockade" state of play, and has not been fully opened.

1. Dissection of the message authenticity

Source: The statement comes from Trump's social media (Truth Social), and is a political shout. There is no independent military source (such as CENTCOM) confirming a large-scale sinking event.

Background: At this time, US and Iranian representatives are conducting trilateral negotiations in Islamabad, Pakistan. Trump's move aims to create the false impression that "US forces have control of the strait," weakening Iran's bargaining chips.

Historical mirror: Similar claims of "sinking XX ships" appeared during the March conflicts, mostly exaggerated propaganda.

2. Actual situation of the strait

Not "fully cleared": Although US warships attempted to pass, Iran had previously closed the strait and only allowed a very limited number of ships (such as Iranian and Russian oil tankers) to transit. Shipping risks remain extremely high.

Military confrontation: On the same day Trump posted, Iran warned and forced back a US destroyer heading toward the strait, showing Iran still has substantial regional denial capabilities.

3. Impact on the crypto market

Combined with trading plans, this news belongs to "high noise, low substance" weekend disturbance:

Short-term reaction: If the market misreads as "situation easing," it may temporarily suppress oil-related sectors (such as $CRVIA), but overall impact on BTC/ETH is limited.

Watch for reversals: If Iran issues a tough counterattack statement over the weekend (such as showing sinking videos), risk aversion sentiment could reverse instantly, causing volatility on Monday morning.

Strategy suggestion: Do nothing. Such unverified tweets are easily falsified and should not be used as a basis for opening positions. Continue with your defensive weekend plan.

Key verification points: Watch whether satellite images or videos surface over the weekend, and check official reports from US Central Command. Currently, this looks more like a "keyboard battle." #Gate广场四月发帖挑战