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Just caught Tom Lee's latest take on the market, and it's worth paying attention to. The Fundstrat co-founder is doubling down on his crypto bull case, suggesting Bitcoin could hit fresh all-time highs as early as this month. After missing his previous predictions—he was way too optimistic about a $200k bitcoin prediction for 2025, and the asset peaked around $126k in October—he's clearly recalibrating but staying bullish.
What's interesting about his current stance is the nuance. Lee isn't saying it'll be smooth sailing. He's flagging 2026 as a year of two halves: rough first half with institutional repositioning and volatility, then a strong rally in the back half. That's actually a more realistic read than pure FOMO. He sees the near-term turbulence as a digestion phase after years of outsized gains, not structural weakness.
On Ethereum specifically, Lee is evangelizing hard. He's positioning ETH as entering a multi-year expansion phase similar to Bitcoin's 2017-2021 run. His mining firm Bitmine Immersion has been accumulating Ether aggressively, now holding over 4 million coins. He's framing it as a treasury imperative rather than speculation—assets that can appreciate 10x+ are "strategic necessities" in his view. Fair point, though his previous ETH target of $15k by December missed by a lot (actual high was around $4.8k).
Beyond crypto, Lee's also calling for S&P 500 to hit 7,700 by year-end, betting on strong corporate earnings and AI productivity gains. The guy's painting a picture of volatility near-term but significant upside if you can stomach the swings. Whether these bitcoin prediction frameworks play out remains to be seen, but the underlying logic about institutional positioning and market cycles is worth considering.