Is the 10-day ceasefire just a trick? The market started raising interest rates first: who is now ahead in the escape?


Brothers, these events fluctuate more than a TV series. A moment ago, there were calls to cut interest rates to save the market, then suddenly the options market begins betting on “raising interest rates.” Are you wondering if you are stunned?
Trump suddenly said: Stop the strikes for 10 days. It seems like a “peaceful breakthrough,” but veteran traders understand — this pause is often not the end, but a loading of the progress bar.
Do you think this is a window for negotiations? The market perceives it as: a countdown to field movements.
The bond market has already spoken. Yields are rising, and volatility is exploding — this is the “trinity of panic” pattern. In other words — smart money has started to doubt one thing: maybe inflation will start rising again.
If the conflict escalates and oil prices increase, what will the Federal Reserve do? They say they won’t raise interest rates, but if the Consumer Price Index (CPI) exceeds expectations again, there could be an “indirect rate hike.” This is not a policy choice, but market pressure.
And here comes the key 👇
👉 Oil: an emotional asset in the short term, rises quickly, but also most susceptible to retaliation.
👉 Gold: the old safe haven, slowly rising but resistant to volatility.
👉 Bitcoin: this time not as a safe haven, but more as a “high-risk asset β,” following liquidity.
In one word:
It’s not about “betting on the trend” now, but “preparing for the reversal scenario.”
📌 Comment section interaction:
👉 Do you think these ten days are a sign of calm, or the night of the great battle?
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