📊 2026-03-15 ETH Technical Analysis + Intraday Strategy (as of 12:25)

Current Price: $2,077, 24h decline -2.8% (range $2,061–$2,140)

I. Key Support/Resistance (Short-term)

- Resistance Levels
- First Resistance: $2,095–$2,100 (intraday minor top + psychological level)
- Second Resistance: $2,110–$2,115 (4h upper band + strong pressure)
- Third Resistance: $2,130–$2,150 (prior platform + MA10)
- Support Levels
- First Support: $2,060–$2,065 (4h lower band + dense trading volume)
- Second Support: $2,015–$2,020 (daily MA15/18 + bull lifeline)
- Third Support: $2,000 (psychological level + liquidation cluster)

II. Technical Indicators (4h/Daily)

- Moving Averages: Daily 50/200 MA in bullish alignment, medium-term bullish; 4h breaks midline, short-term weakening
- MACD: 4h death cross trending down, green histogram expanding, bearish dominance; daily red histogram contracting, bullish momentum weakening
- RSI: 4h 40, neutral-to-weak, approaching oversold; daily 41, selling pressure not fully released
- Bollinger Bands (4h): Price trading near lower band, volatility increasing; lower band $2,060 as short-term support

III. Pattern & Structure

- 4h: High-level box ($2,130–$2,180) broken, transitioning to weak range-bound decline
- Daily: High pullback, intermediate uptrend not broken, but pullback risk rising
- On-chain: Exchange inflows elevated, long-term holders reducing positions, short-term selling pressure persists

IV. Macro & Events (Short-term Impact)

- FOMC (March 18): Expected to maintain rates unchanged, Powell speech impacts liquidity
- Geopolitical conflict + US equity correction, risk-off sentiment intensifying, broad crypto decline
- Futures: 24h network liquidations $417M, longs 68%, bears dominant

V. Intraday Strategy (For Reference Only, Not Investment Advice)

1) Bearish Bias (Rally sell-offs, Priority)

- Entry: $2,095–$2,100 light position test short
- Stop Loss: $2,115 (above)
- Targets: $2,060 → $2,020 → $2,000

2) Bullish Bias (Pullback stability buy, Cautious)

- Entry: $2,015–$2,020 after stabilization light position test long
- Stop Loss: $2,000 (below)
- Targets: $2,060 → $2,095 → $2,110

3) Risk Management Key Points

- Position Size: Single direction ≤5%, total position ≤10%
- Leverage: ≤5x, avoid high-leverage trading
- Timeframe: Before FOMC (before March 18) focus on short-term, avoid holding overnight

#加密市场上涨 $ETH