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Oil prices surging is only temporary, and Trump's latest statement has set the tone.
$BTC
He straightforwardly states that current price fluctuations are a necessary cost to maintain global security, even adopting a tough tone of "if it goes up, it goes up." As the US-Iran situation progresses, the White House firmly believes this is just a short-term pain. Once the action ends, oil prices will not only fall back but may even drop below pre-war levels.
Currently, Brent crude oil has broken the $100 mark, but with the US producing 13.6 million barrels of shale oil daily, confidence remains high. Trump explicitly states that he will not use strategic reserves for now, relying instead on energy dominance to stand firm.
Market analysis also presents extreme divergence predictions: either breaking through historical highs or rapidly collapsing back to $60 after the conflict subsides.
For top players, this kind of geopolitical-induced energy turmoil often signals a shift in capital flows. Once the expectation of falling oil prices materializes, global liquidity will be reshuffled.
#原油价格飙升
These critical moments in the market are opportunities if you understand them; if not, they are just fuel.