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Successfully predicted that Israel would attack Iran, with an account investing $13,900 betting that U.S. troops would enter Iran before March 31.
According to PolyBeats monitoring, on prediction market Polymarket, a successful prediction of Israel attacking Iran in the past 24 hours involved an account with a 70% win rate across 24 trades, betting $13,900 on “U.S. troops will enter Iran before March 31.” The opening price was 24.3¢, now at 27¢. The U.S. government is currently mainly using airstrikes, drones, and remote attacks to weaken Iran’s military capabilities, but some officials and analysts point out that if the conflict escalates or regime change becomes a goal, the U.S. military may face strategic choices about ground intervention, though such actions carry high risks. Unlike before the 2003 Iraq War, the U.S. has not assembled large-scale ground forces, so at this stage, it is more likely to maintain airstrikes and limited military involvement. A full invasion of Iran would require hundreds of thousands of troops and face long-term war and insurgency risks, creating significant resistance both politically and militarily within the U.S. Account: 0x38692cead875c0cd862052efbff8f6add7310e3c Open position: $13.9K --------------------------------- See the future earlier, follow @PolyBeats_Bot. See tomorrow, today. Follow @PolyBeatsEN