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On March 4th, last night and this morning, Trump first vowed to "do whatever it takes" on Iran issues, causing U.S. stocks to open sharply lower, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average plunging nearly 1,300 points at one point. Subsequently, Trump announced that he would provide insurance and escort for oil tankers passing through the Strait of Hormuz, leading to a significant retreat in crude oil, the US dollar, and US Treasury yields from their highs. U.S. stock indices narrowed their losses, but the Nasdaq still fell over 1%.
However, Iran remains closely watching the Strait of Hormuz. Mohammad Akbari Zadeh, deputy commander of the Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps Navy, stated that the Strait of Hormuz is now fully under Iranian naval control, with more than a dozen oil tankers hit by shells in the strait. The probability of "Iran closing the Strait of Hormuz" on Polymarket remains high.
Additionally, Trump announced a trade embargo against Spain for refusing to support the United States, reigniting market concerns over trade uncertainties.
Iran has also chosen its successor to Khamenei. According to The New York Times, three Iranian officials familiar with the discussions revealed that Khamenei's son, Mojtaba, has become the leading candidate for Iran's Supreme Leader. Officials said that an expert meeting in Iran is considering announcing Mojtaba as the successor on Wednesday morning, but some have expressed reservations, fearing this move could make him a target for attacks by the U.S. and Israel.
In the Asia-Pacific early trading session, stocks in Japan and South Korea plummeted. As of press time, South Korea's KOSPI index fell by 6%, and KOSPI 200 futures dropped 5%, triggering a 5-minute pause in algorithmic trading. The Nikkei 225 index fell below 55,000 points, with a intraday decline of 2.31%.
Cryptocurrencies saw a slight rebound last night and remained steady in the morning. Bitcoin is currently at $68,151.61, up 0.64% over the past 24 hours, while Ethereum is relatively weaker at $1,981, up 0.61% over the same period.
#深度创作营 $BTC
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