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If you haven’t figured it out yet, which sector benefits the most from agentic commerce?
Let me tell you the obvious one + example:
Stablecoins.
Circle's $CRCL, the issuer of USDC, is up 60% in a week following a major earnings beat.
But the move isn't just about one strong quarter's earnings.
It reflects a much larger shift happening at the intersection of AI, payments, and financial infrastructure.
In simple terms:
If the internet becomes autonomous, the money moving across it must also be native to the internet.
Stablecoins are currently the closest thing we have.
— 1. The fundamentals are already exploding
Every USDC token is backed by reserves held in short-term U.S. Treasuries and cash equivalents.
Circle earns interest on those reserves, which correlate to USDC supply.
Some of the key numbers from the report:
➠ Q4 revenue: around $770M, up roughly 77% YoY
➠ Reserve income: roughly $733M, accounting for the majority of revenue
➠ USDC circulating supply: about $75B, up roughly 72% YoY
➠ On-chain USDC transaction volume: roughly $11.9T, up 247% YoY
— 2. The revenue flywheel could get much bigger
The key driver is simply stablecoin supply growth.
USDC supply could potentially grow from $75B toward $150B or more from:
➠ Agentic payment
➠ Infrastructure services
➠ On-chain financial products
3. Why the stock moved so fast recently
While the long-term thesis is structural, the recent price movement was driven by several short-term catalysts.
First, Circle reported earnings that significantly exceeded expectations, which triggered the initial rally.
Strong revenue growth and expanding USDC supply surprised many investors.
Then several technical factors amplified the move:
➠ Short squeeze
➠ Momentum trading
➠ TradFi crypto rails integration
That is why they are increasingly viewed as a clear proxy and core infrastructure for the next phase of the internet economy.
— 4. My thoughts
Don't chase hype. I think it’s cooling down over the next few days. There are also bear cases when rate cuts happen, which can decrease revenue proportionally, plus regulatory risks around the proper use of yield.
But I think we’re starting to see projects with strong positioning in the agentic commerce stack get more attention soon.