#深度创作营

Today marks my 618th consecutive day of posting updates. Not a single day missed. Each post is not just a perfunctory effort but carefully prepared. [微笑] If you think I am a serious person, you can walk with me, and I hope the daily content can help you. The world is vast, and I am small. Follow me so you don’t have to look hard. [微笑][微笑]

Originally, 90% of people were bearish, now approaching 99%. Market sentiment is not “getting colder,” but “freezing.” Most people are looking at how last month performed. When last month’s prices fell, they use “continuation thinking” to predict the future. When last month had no significant movement, they default to “no market this year.” Throughout the year, the market often has two or three phases. But the problem is: when everyone is convinced that “this is the only phase,” that phase has basically already ended. A new phase is on its way! Because once a consensus is formed around the old phase, prices no longer serve the “known,” but instead serve the “expectation gap.” Most people lose money not because they see the trend wrong, but because they only chase what has already happened. They buy confirmation, sell out of fear, and miss the turning point. While 99% of people are reviewing the previous phase, a new phase has already started in a corner unnoticed.