Since opening short positions is hedged against my long-term holdings, I’m not very keen on taking short positions. However, since some people are opening shorts, I want to remind you that with low leverage, you can close out a short position if the liquidation level stays above 2700. The target for short positions is to wait for a concentrated black swan event in the US stock market. Usually, this leads to my bottom-fishing entry point below 1200. The entry point for shorts is typically near strong resistance levels like around 2100, with an aggressive entry above 2000.

Actually, my guidance is quite clear. I’ve emphasized that below 1900 is a good position for dollar-cost averaging long positions. Opening longs at least below 1900 makes it easy to get caught in a short squeeze if the market moves against you.

I also assume that a black swan could suddenly hit early, causing a sharp decline. The remaining funds would then be used for a all-in bet, which is my perceived bottom price below 1200. Naturally, this becomes a consideration for closing short positions.

I base my analysis and actions on my current holdings. When I’m long, I don’t think about shorting, but I can infer shorting opportunities from my long positions.

Furthermore, if a phase rebound can fill the 2400 gap, I will definitely reverse and go short. Opening positions is never about blindly believing in either the bulls or the bears; it’s about making the most correct and rational decision based on market conditions.