#比特币反弹 #比特币反弹 Is the absolute counterattack or a trap of诱多? The bloody truth behind BTC's return to 65,000

Market Brief: Bitcoin rebounded strongly after hitting a low of $63,232, soaring 2.79% in a single day, now trading at $65,427. This large bullish candle instantly ignited the entire network's enthusiasm for long positions, but on-chain data reveals the bloody truth behind this rally.

1. Data Perspective: The Extreme Divergence Between Main Force "Short Squeeze" and Retail "FOMO"

Short Squeeze: In the past 24 hours, the bears experienced an epic liquidation, with single-day short positions liquidated reaching $109 million. Main force funds pushed prices up aggressively, precisely harvesting high-leverage shorts.

Main Force Deployment: Top traders' long-short ratio steadily increased to 1.2317, indicating that institutional funds are betting real money on the future market direction.

Retail Frenzy: After the price returned to 65,000, FOMO sentiment among small and medium retail investors exploded, with the number of accounts reaching 2.05 times higher, but the capital amount only 1.23 times higher. This extreme divergence of "more people, less money" is the favorite hunting ground for market manipulators.

2. Technical Analysis: Can BTC Return to 70,000?

Resistance and Support: The most dense support level for Bitcoin is around $60,000, while the first significant resistance zone is near $82,000. The $60,000 to $70,000 range has a clear negative Gamma, indicating that price volatility may intensify.

Main Force Intentions: The essence of financial markets is zero-sum. When the main force sees the bullish carriage crowded with retail traders trying to hitch a ride, they often suddenly slam the brakes or even maliciously poke down to shake out weak hands. The main force has no qualms about causing sharp fluctuations before pushing the price to $70,000, first shaking off these crowded high-leverage longs, eating their margin, and then moving forward lightly.

3. Trading Strategies: How to Cope with Subsequent Volatility?

Low Entry Strategy: Short-term traders can look for buying opportunities near $64,000. If the market experiences technical pullbacks to shake out some hesitant chasing buyers, the $64,000 to $64,500 range will be an excellent right-side entry point. Using the main force's shakeout to reverse and catch the rebound is a core principle to improve trading success rate.

Liquidation Monitoring: Keep a close eye on the evolution of short liquidation data. The end of a short squeeze often comes with complete liquidation of shorts. As long as millions of dollars worth of short positions are still being liquidated daily, it indicates that the upward momentum is still sustained. Conversely, if short liquidation volume drops sharply, beware of the risk of a phase top.

The market rhythm in 2026 is accelerating, maintaining reverence for data, seeking opportunities in despair, staying sober amid frenzy—these are the keys to navigating through bull and bear markets. #当前行情抄底还是观望？