#马年开工第一帖

#比特币反弹 Alert sounded! Bitcoin Ahr999 indicator has fallen below the "bottom-fishing line," opening a historic opportunity for bargain hunting?

Core Data:
Ahr999 Index: 0.29 (as of February 25, 2026)

Key Threshold: 0.45 (bottom-fishing line)

Status: Deeply undervalued

1. Indicator Interpretation: Why is now the time to "pick up a bargain"?
The Ahr999 indicator was created by community expert "Nine God." It combines short-term dollar-cost averaging (DCA) costs with long-term index growth valuation, specifically to measure whether Bitcoin is "expensive" or "cheap."

< 0.45 (bottom-fishing zone): Price is significantly below long-term costs, historically an excellent buying opportunity.

0.45 - 1.2 (DCA zone): Price is reasonable, suitable for regular fixed investments.

> 1.2 (overvalued zone): Price is high, with greater risk.

What does the current value of 0.29 mean?

It indicates that Bitcoin's price has broken below the long-term cost line, entering the statistically "deep undervaluation" zone. Simply put, buying now costs less than the daily average cost of those who have been consistently investing over the past 200 days.

2. Historical Backtesting: Data Doesn't Lie
Looking back at extreme moments in Bitcoin's history, this indicator often accurately captures the bottom:

1. November 2022 (FTX collapse): Ahr999 dropped below 0.3, after which Bitcoin started a bull market from $16,000.

2. March 2020 (COVID crash): The indicator was also low, and the price rebounded from $3,800.

3. 2018 bear market bottom: The indicator was extremely low, corresponding to the absolute bottom of the previous cycle.

Historical patterns show: When Ahr999 falls below 0.45, it is often a time of extreme market panic and retail investors selling off. However, in the long run, buying during this period can yield very high returns.

3. Current Signal: Opportunity or Trap?
Currently, the indicator has not only fallen below the 0.45 bottom-fishing line but has even reached a low of 0.29. Such readings typically correspond to the market's "despair moment." While short-term prices may still fluctuate, from a long-term perspective, this area offers a high-probability entry window.

⚠️ Risk Warning:

Entering the bottom-fishing zone does not mean prices will rebound immediately. Historically, indicators at low levels can persist for months (e.g., in late 2022), and the market may undergo a prolonged bottoming process. Be sure to manage your funds carefully and avoid going all-in at once.

For long-term holders, Ahr999 < 0.45 is a strong "discount" signal. If you believe in Bitcoin's long-term value, current prices might be the "golden opportunity" you've been waiting for.