How The Viper Energy (VNOM) Narrative Is Evolving With Mixed Analyst Valuation Tweaks

Simply Wall St

Mon, February 23, 2026 at 9:20 AM GMT+9 3 min read

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Viper Energy’s fair value estimate has shifted only slightly, from US$50.11 to US$50.22, keeping the headline price target effectively in the same ballpark. That small move sits against a mixed research backdrop, with one bank lifting its target by US$3 while others trimmed theirs by US$1 and US$6, reflecting a tighter debate around how much is already priced in. As you read on, you will see how these tweaks fit into the broader story and what to watch as the narrative continues to evolve.

Analyst Price Targets don’t always capture the full story. Head over to our Company Report to find new ways to value Viper Energy.

What Wall Street Has Been Saying

🐂 Bullish Takeaways

BofA lifted its price target for Viper Energy by US$3, which signals confidence that the company’s current execution and asset base can support a higher valuation than previously modeled.

The limited overall change in the blended fair value estimate, despite different house views, suggests that analysts still see the current price as broadly aligned with their assessment of Viper’s long term prospects.

🐻 Bearish Takeaways

Barclays cut its price target by US$6, which hints at concerns around how much upside is already reflected in the share price and whether growth assumptions need to be tempered.

Morgan Stanley’s US$1 target reduction points to a more cautious stance on valuation, with less room for error if Viper’s execution or the operating backdrop does not match existing expectations.

Do your thoughts align with the Bull or Bear Analysts? Perhaps you think there’s more to the story. Head to the Simply Wall St Community to discover more perspectives!

NasdaqGS:VNOM 1-Year Stock Price Chart

We’ve flagged 3 risks for Viper Energy. See which could impact your investment.

How This Changes the Fair Value For Viper Energy

Fair value estimate adjusted from US$50.11 to US$50.22, a fractional change that keeps the level broadly in line with prior assumptions.

Implied revenue growth rate is essentially stable at about 21.36%, with only a very small adjustment.

Net profit margin assumption nudged from about 9.90% to about 9.93%, reflecting a modest tweak to profitability inputs.

Future P/E input remains virtually unchanged at roughly 63.11x based on current earnings forecasts.

Discount rate is effectively unchanged at about 6.98%, indicating no material shift in how risk is treated in cash flow models.

Never Miss an Update: Follow The Narrative

Narratives connect a company’s real world story to forecasted earnings, cash flows, and fair value so you can see why the numbers look the way they do. They update automatically when analysts change their assumptions or new information comes out.

Story continues  

Head over to the Simply Wall St Community and follow the Narrative on Viper Energy to stay up to date on:

How the Sitio Royalties acquisition and its automation systems are expected to support scale, efficiency, and long term production depth in the Permian Basin.

The role of Diamondback and other large U.S. operators in driving organic production, free cash flow, and cash returns through buybacks and variable dividends once leverage goals are met.

Key risks around dependence on third party operators, Permian concentration, integration of recent deals, noncore asset sales, and long term ESG and regulatory pressures on fossil fuels.

_ This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned._

Companies discussed in this article include VNOM.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly._ Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com_

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