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Gm ☕️
I don’t perform well in downtrends, and I’m honest about that. My strength is doing deep research during long, quiet accumulation phases, and I consistently perform best during expansion phases. So I structure my strategy around my strengths: in downtrends I stay patient and protect capital, in accumulation phases I research and build positions more aggressively, and during expansion phases I become highly active and trade every day. And this framework applies to my entire approach across all financial markets.
Something I want to talk about is how I actually decide whether a week (LTF) is going to be an active trading week or a sit on hands week, because I think that distinction alone saves me more money than any single pattern or setup.
Before I even look at individual charts on Sunday evening, I check three things. First, the macro calendar. If there's CPI, FOMC, or major earnings coming, I already know that certain days are going to be volatile and unpredictable, and I either size down significantly or just don't trade around those events. The edge I have comes from reading structure and patterns, not from guessing which way a number is going to print.
Second, I look at the broader market context. Is BTC trending or ranging? Is there momentum or is everything chopping? Right now we've been in this 60-72k range for a while with thin volumes and extreme fear. That tells me this is not a week to be aggressive. The setups that work best for me need momentum behind them, and in a low volume range there's just less follow through on breakouts, more fakeouts, more chop that eats accounts slowly.
Third, I check myself honestly. Am I coming off a losing streak that might affect my judgement? Am I feeling impatient because I haven't traded in a while? Am I bored and looking for action rather than looking for setups? If any of those are true, I already know I need to be more careful, because the worst trades I've ever taken came from trading my emotions instead of my process.
Most weeks right now, the honest answer to all three is: sit and wait. And that's fine. The opportunities will come. They always do.
In this market environment, unless you are actively trading meme coins every day, the most rational approach is to patiently accumulate BTC, ETH, and SOL during deep pullbacks after extended consolidation. Stock market? Personally, I prefer to wait for a pullback and a clear accumulation phase before getting involved again. There are always trading opportunities in a bull market, but there is no need to chase them frantically every day. The real edge comes from preserving capital and waiting patiently for bullish expansion phases, because that is where the majority of meaningful trading profits are made.