2026-02-19 10:07:16

【Before the true main rally of BTC, the market usually crashes once first】

Let's clarify the conclusion directly to make it easier for everyone to execute:

Current BTC trading plan:

① Rebound zone: 75,000—80,000 USD → Reduce positions and trade
② Pullback zone: 54,000—60,000 USD → Gradually buy back
③ Complete secondary bottoming → Wait for the main rally
④ Major target: Above 100,000 USD

Note that the most common mistakes here are two:
- Not daring to buy after a decline
- Reluctant to sell after a rise

The market won't give you bull market profits all at once, but redistributes chips through volatility.
The real profit-makers are not the ones with the most accurate predictions, but those with the strongest execution.

So, the core of this market phase is not all-in betting, but:
Use volatility to lower costs, and wait patiently for the trend.

First, manage your positions well, and the bull market will naturally come to you.

#BTC走势分析 $BTC

BTC0,45%

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橙子研究院

2026-02-13 07:02:51

[Is the true bottom of BTC not here yet? First 80K, then 50K, and finally aiming for 100K — the complete script]

Last night during the live stream, I already outlined the main direction. Here’s a brief summary (the referenced article contains more detailed logic):

The current core idea is:
First, watch BTC rebound to the 75,000–80,000 USD range. During this phase, focus on reducing positions and taking profits; then, there’s a high probability of a retest, dropping to the 54,000–60,000 USD range to find the real stage bottom. Once the second bottom is confirmed, the market will be more likely to enter a large-scale rally, with the target potentially exceeding 100,000 USD.

Therefore, the key to trading is not “holding tightly” or “blindly bottom-fishing,” but:
When there’s room for a rebound, reduce positions to lock in profits; during dips, buy back in low, using volatility to lower the average cost, so profits can be amplified.

In simple terms: survive the wave swings first, then wait for the main upward wave to take profits.

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