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Bitcoin
Short-term: Consolidating at the bottom with sideways movement, slightly bearish but not extreme
Key support: 65,000–66,000 strong support zone, only accelerating downward if broken.
Resistance levels: 69,000–71,000, a rebound that fails to break through is just a trap for late buyers.
Logic:
Macroeconomic pressures (US Treasury yields, delayed rate cut expectations) + profit-taking from previous gains, leading to sideways consolidation with limited movement.
Operations:
Maintain a light position; buy spot near 65,000 with strict stop-loss if broken; favor long contracts but avoid excessive trading.
Ethereum
Short-term: Weaker than Bitcoin, moving in tandem downward, rebound lacks strength
Support: 1900–1950 critical zone, holding this is necessary for a rebound.
Resistance: 2100–2200, a rebound here is likely to be crushed.
Logic:
Funds prefer Bitcoin for risk aversion; ETH currently follows Bitcoin downward and lags in recovery, waiting for market stabilization before catching up.
Operations:
Avoid bottom-fishing during sharp dips; wait for stabilization to buy the dip; focus on Bitcoin for swings, use ETH for catch-up gains.
Next steps (core judgment)
Short-term (1–3 days): Consolidation at the bottom, likely to move sideways first before choosing direction, CPI data is a key turning point.
Medium-term (1–2 weeks): Rebound if key support holds; if broken, retest previous lows.
Major trend: This is a mid-term correction, not a full bear market; after correction, new highs are still expected.
One-sentence summary
Bitcoin controls the rhythm, altcoins depend on market sentiment; wait for stabilization before acting, avoid chasing highs or panic selling