I just saw a message. There is an address that has only had one transaction in its history, yet it placed a $56,000 bet on "the US attacking Iran." This detail is very suspicious. Even more interesting is that this address previously bet against Trump taking office, which resulted in a loss.

Today, the overall market is declining, which easily leads people to think that geopolitical risks are escalating.
I think there are probably two possibilities:
First, this is a phishing wallet, intentionally placing an extremely large order to be caught by the media and community, amplifying emotions, and influencing market expectations, causing small addresses to sell off.
Second, this address might have actually received insider information, internally discussing whether to go to war, with a stronger judgment on the escalation of the situation.
It's still hard to determine which one it is, but such abnormal behavior at this level is definitely worth monitoring. Check if the prediction market is based on the latest rumors.
Now, I think about betting on prediction markets by opening Opinion, which allows placing and hanging orders, and trading earns points. It should be possible to get airdrops right after TGE, a win-win situation.