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The news at the end of this month is very concentrated, and it can be described as the financial market's Spring Festival Gala, capable of triggering a 20% unilateral volatility at any time. All times are Beijing time. Feel free to share, but please note the source.$BTC $ETH
January 29, 3:00 AM Federal Reserve Rate Decision
Bullish: Unanimous vote to maintain 3.50% to 3.75% and hint at a long-term target of 3.1%
Bearish: Internal disagreements emerge as several members support maintaining high rates long-term
January 29, 3:30 AM Powell Speech
Bullish: Acknowledges risk of unemployment rising to 4.4% and reaffirms monetary policy independence
Bearish: Ignores labor market softness, focusing only on 2.8% sticky core inflation
January 29, 5:00 AM Microsoft and Meta Earnings Reports
Bullish: Azure cloud growth exceeds 30%, and Meta ad revenue surpasses $58 billion
Bearish: Overinvestment in AI infrastructure causes gross margin to fall below 47%
January 29, daytime Middle East Geopolitical Game
Bullish: Aircraft carrier strike groups maintain deterrence without actual conflict
Bearish: Expectations of Strait of Hormuz blockade push Brent crude oil above $100
January 29, 11:30 PM Agriculture Committee Vote
Bullish: Bill passes smoothly and confirms Ethereum as a digital commodity
Bearish: Further delays or addition of strict anti-money laundering restrictions due to amendments
January 30, 5:00 AM Apple Earnings Report
Bullish: Quarterly revenue exceeds $138.4 billion with gross margin surpassing 48%
Bearish: Weak growth in core hardware and rising component costs erode profits
January 30, 4:00 PM Options Expiry
Bullish: Post-expiry magnetic effect dissipates, price returns above the 3050 center
Bearish: During liquidity vacuum, price drops below 2950, the largest pain point
January 30, 9:30 PM Core PCE Index
Bullish: Core inflation data exceeds expectations, falling to 2.5%
Bearish: Inflation remains above 2.8%, completely sealing rate cut expectations
January 31, Monthly Closing and Final Account
Bullish: My Deep Sea Hunter Model Alpha factor rebounds above 0.95, confirming the secondary high point
Bearish: Alpha factor falls below 0.7 and closes below the 2864 deep sea support level
The entire day's news density on the 29th is extremely high, and any deviation in judgment can trigger hundreds of points of fluctuation.