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2026.1.27 10:19 AM BTC/ETH/SOL Market Analysis
This Thursday the 29th at 3:00 AM, the Federal Reserve interest rate decision will be announced. Currently, the expectation is no rate cut. On the 30th, there is an 80% chance of a US government shutdown!
These two pieces of news are concentrated on Thursday and Friday. Since the new high in October, the market has been falling sharply for a month and a half, consolidating sideways for two and a half months. The price has tested the 86670-83960 range three times. This wave is either the last test or a breakdown. If there is a third test, it’s not a bottoming process but a break below, opening up a large downward space. It can be said that this is a critical moment for the medium-term trend’s survival!
Last night’s live broadcast provided a 24-hour oscillation correction on the 1-hour indicator. Tonight early morning is very critical, directly determining whether the 1-hour trend confirms this bottom or continues to probe lower. If this bottom is confirmed, then after the end of the month’s Federal Reserve rate decision and the US government shutdown, the market may experience 1-2 more downward waves. In that case, this wave will have basically bottomed out. Currently, the probability of a bullish close in February’s K-line is high, and February should be a month of recovery, so let’s look forward to it!
BTC
Support: 83960
Resistance: 92100/94225
At this critical point, watch the volume capacity at 86670 and 89375 during the day to see if there’s a chance;
ETH
Support: 2515/2225
Resistance: 3170
The current key level is 2749, with a weekend layout point at 2831. Yesterday, I suggested reducing positions by 60% to protect the principal; continue holding today!
SOL support/resistance levels: 133/126/116/109
Last night’s orders were to buy more at 118.5, continue to hold during the day;
Trading advice: No significant volatility in the early morning. The lowest is 86960, about 300 dollars away from the key level at 86670. The Solana trend in the early morning did not break the needle. Today during the day, expect consolidation with reduced volume. A pullback is still a good opportunity to buy in. For those with empty positions, close your eyes and stay in the market. Manage your positions well. Although the Federal Reserve rate decision and the US government shutdown are imminent, it’s perfectly fine to allocate 1-2% of your portfolio to gamble!